Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
27%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.082.48safe0.43–2.370.23–1.930.66–4.30safer0.18–2.620.00–2.160.18–4.78
Shots on target
49%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.273.808.08safe2.41–6.142.06–5.554.47–11.68safer1.92–6.631.59–6.013.52–12.64
Total shots
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7112.0325.74safe9.79–17.648.47–15.6018.26–33.23safer8.69–18.737.51–16.5616.21–35.28
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.388.2217.60safe6.44–12.325.54–10.9011.98–23.23safer5.61–13.154.80–11.6410.41–24.79
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.323.387.69safe2.44–6.201.72–5.034.16–11.23safer1.89–6.751.23–5.523.12–12.27
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.7010.26safe3.35–7.782.70–6.706.05–14.48safer2.78–8.352.17–7.234.94–15.58
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction50.7148.64safe43.92–57.5041.86–55.43safer42.25–59.1740.19–57.10
Passes
62%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction440401841safe373–507335–468708–975safer355–525317–485672–1011
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction68.2369.69safe64.20–72.2665.36–74.01safer62.91–73.5564.06–75.32
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8211.6322.45safe7.98–13.668.68–14.5716.67–28.23safer7.23–14.417.94–15.3215.16–29.74
Offsides
44%
19%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.332.134.46safe1.17–3.491.04–3.222.21–6.71safer0.87–3.790.75–3.511.62–7.30
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.963.52safe0.51–2.610.83–3.091.34–5.70safer0.25–2.880.54–3.380.78–6.25
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
38%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.652.835.48safe1.22–4.091.27–4.382.49–8.47safer0.83–4.480.85–4.811.68–9.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.08 0.23–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.48 0.66–4.30 0.18–4.78 | 44% 27% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.27 2.41–6.14 1.92–6.63 | 3.80 2.06–5.55 1.59–6.01 | 8.08 4.47–11.68 3.52–12.64 | 49% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.71 9.79–17.64 8.69–18.73 | 12.03 8.47–15.60 7.51–16.56 | 25.74 18.26–33.23 16.21–35.28 | 59% 33% |
| Shots in box | 9.38 6.44–12.32 5.61–13.15 | 8.22 5.54–10.90 4.80–11.64 | 17.60 11.98–23.23 10.41–24.79 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.44–6.20 1.89–6.75 | 3.38 1.72–5.03 1.23–5.52 | 7.69 4.16–11.23 3.12–12.27 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.78 2.78–8.35 | 4.70 2.70–6.70 2.17–7.23 | 10.26 6.05–14.48 4.94–15.58 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 50.71 43.92–57.50 42.25–59.17 | 48.64 41.86–55.43 40.19–57.10 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 440 373–507 355–525 | 401 335–468 317–485 | 841 708–975 672–1011 | 62% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.23 64.20–72.26 62.91–73.55 | 69.69 65.36–74.01 64.06–75.32 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.98–13.66 7.23–14.41 | 11.63 8.68–14.57 7.94–15.32 | 22.45 16.67–28.23 15.16–29.74 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.33 1.17–3.49 0.87–3.79 | 2.13 1.04–3.22 0.75–3.51 | 4.46 2.21–6.71 1.62–7.30 | 44% 19% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.25 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 2.83 1.27–4.38 0.85–4.81 | 5.48 2.49–8.47 1.68–9.29 | 38% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+