Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
22%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction0.941.852.80safe0.00–1.911.00–2.710.97–4.62safer0.00–2.160.77–2.930.49–5.10
Shots on target
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.395.318.70safe1.52–5.253.57–7.055.09–12.30safer1.03–5.743.10–7.524.14–13.26
Total shots
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3814.5725.95safe7.45–15.3011.01–18.1318.46–33.43safer6.36–16.3910.05–19.0916.41–35.48
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction6.639.9616.60safe3.69–9.587.28–12.6410.97–22.22safer2.86–10.416.54–13.389.41–23.79
Blocked shots
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.434.157.59safe1.55–5.322.50–5.804.05–11.12safer1.01–5.862.01–6.303.01–12.16
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.335.449.78safe2.12–6.553.44–7.445.57–13.99safer1.55–7.122.91–7.984.46–15.10
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.7257.86safe35.93–49.5151.07–64.64safer34.26–51.1849.40–66.31
Passes
13%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction366499866safe299–434433–566732–999safer281–452415–583696–1035
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction65.3377.31safe61.30–69.3672.99–81.64safer60.01–70.6571.68–82.95
Fouls
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6410.2723.91safe10.80–16.487.33–13.2218.13–29.69safer10.04–17.236.58–13.9616.62–31.20
Offsides
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.372.223.59safe0.21–2.531.12–3.311.34–5.84safer0.00–2.830.84–3.600.75–6.43
Yellow cards
44%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.723.70safe0.93–3.030.59–2.851.52–5.87safer0.66–3.290.30–3.140.96–6.43
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.382.595.97safe1.94–4.811.04–4.152.98–8.96safer1.55–5.200.61–4.572.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.16 | 1.85 1.00–2.71 0.77–2.93 | 2.80 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 19% 22% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.39 1.52–5.25 1.03–5.74 | 5.31 3.57–7.05 3.10–7.52 | 8.70 5.09–12.30 4.14–13.26 | 20% 68% |
| Total shots | 11.38 7.45–15.30 6.36–16.39 | 14.57 11.01–18.13 10.05–19.09 | 25.95 18.46–33.43 16.41–35.48 | 23% 70% |
| Shots in box | 6.63 3.69–9.58 2.86–10.41 | 9.96 7.28–12.64 6.54–13.38 | 16.60 10.97–22.22 9.41–23.79 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.43 1.55–5.32 1.01–5.86 | 4.15 2.50–5.80 2.01–6.30 | 7.59 4.05–11.12 3.01–12.16 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.33 2.12–6.55 1.55–7.12 | 5.44 3.44–7.44 2.91–7.98 | 9.78 5.57–13.99 4.46–15.10 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 42.72 35.93–49.51 34.26–51.18 | 57.86 51.07–64.64 49.40–66.31 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 366 299–434 281–452 | 499 433–566 415–583 | 866 732–999 696–1035 | 13% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.33 61.30–69.36 60.01–70.65 | 77.31 72.99–81.64 71.68–82.95 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 13.64 10.80–16.48 10.04–17.23 | 10.27 7.33–13.22 6.58–13.96 | 23.91 18.13–29.69 16.62–31.20 | 72% 21% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 2.22 1.12–3.31 0.84–3.60 | 3.59 1.34–5.84 0.75–6.43 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.29 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.70 1.52–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 44% 21% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.94–4.81 1.55–5.20 | 2.59 1.04–4.15 0.61–4.57 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.78 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+