Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.252.73safe0.51–2.450.40–2.110.91–4.55safer0.26–2.700.17–2.330.43–5.03
Shots on target
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.419.29safe3.01–6.742.67–6.165.68–12.89safer2.52–7.222.21–6.624.73–13.85
Total shots
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7912.6227.41safe10.86–18.719.06–16.1819.92–34.90safer9.77–19.808.10–17.1417.87–36.95
Shots in box
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction9.928.5318.45safe6.98–12.865.85–11.2112.83–24.07safer6.15–13.695.11–11.9511.26–25.64
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.473.467.93safe2.58–6.351.81–5.114.39–11.46safer2.04–6.891.31–5.603.35–12.50
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.934.8910.81safe3.71–8.142.89–6.896.60–15.03safer3.14–8.722.35–7.425.49–16.13
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.4352.07safe41.64–55.2245.28–58.85safer39.97–56.8943.61–60.52
Passes
40%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction431460891safe364–499393–526757–1025safer346–517376–544722–1060
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction70.4672.28safe66.43–74.4967.95–76.60safer65.14–75.7866.64–77.91
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2811.8723.15safe8.44–14.128.93–14.8217.37–28.93safer7.68–14.878.18–15.5615.86–30.44
Offsides
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.223.84safe0.45–2.781.13–3.321.58–6.09safer0.15–3.080.84–3.601.00–6.68
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.073.75safe0.63–2.720.95–3.201.57–5.93safer0.36–2.990.65–3.491.01–6.49
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.12safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.893.376.26safe1.46–4.331.81–4.933.27–9.25safer1.07–4.721.39–5.352.46–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.25 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.33 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 42% 25% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.87 3.01–6.74 2.52–7.22 | 4.41 2.67–6.16 2.21–6.62 | 9.29 5.68–12.89 4.73–13.85 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Total shots | 14.79 10.86–18.71 9.77–19.80 | 12.62 9.06–16.18 8.10–17.14 | 27.41 19.92–34.90 17.87–36.95 | 62% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.92 6.98–12.86 6.15–13.69 | 8.53 5.85–11.21 5.11–11.95 | 18.45 12.83–24.07 11.26–25.64 | 58% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.58–6.35 2.04–6.89 | 3.46 1.81–5.11 1.31–5.60 | 7.93 4.39–11.46 3.35–12.50 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.93 3.71–8.14 3.14–8.72 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.35–7.42 | 10.81 6.60–15.03 5.49–16.13 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 48.43 41.64–55.22 39.97–56.89 | 52.07 45.28–58.85 43.61–60.52 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 431 364–499 346–517 | 460 393–526 376–544 | 891 757–1025 722–1060 | 40% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.46 66.43–74.49 65.14–75.78 | 72.28 67.95–76.60 66.64–77.91 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 11.28 8.44–14.12 7.68–14.87 | 11.87 8.93–14.82 8.18–15.56 | 23.15 17.37–28.93 15.86–30.44 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.78 0.15–3.08 | 2.22 1.13–3.32 0.84–3.60 | 3.84 1.58–6.09 1.00–6.68 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 2.07 0.95–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.75 1.57–5.93 1.01–6.49 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.46–4.33 1.07–4.72 | 3.37 1.81–4.93 1.39–5.35 | 6.26 3.27–9.25 2.46–10.07 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.