Premier League·Regular Season - 13·
Premier League·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.002.66safe0.69–2.620.15–1.860.83–4.48safer0.44–2.880.00–2.080.35–4.96
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.213.398.60safe3.35–7.071.65–5.135.00–12.21safer2.86–7.561.18–5.604.04–13.16
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.869.4126.27safe12.93–20.785.84–12.9718.78–33.75safer11.84–21.874.88–13.9316.73–35.80
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.986.8317.81safe8.04–13.934.15–9.5112.19–23.44safer7.21–14.763.41–10.2510.62–25.00
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.882.957.83safe2.99–6.761.30–4.614.30–11.37safer2.45–7.300.81–5.103.26–12.40
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.383.8410.21safe4.16–8.591.84–5.846.00–14.43safer3.59–9.161.30–6.374.89–15.54
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.4339.05safe53.64–67.2232.27–45.84safer51.97–68.8930.59–47.51
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction528325853safe461–595259–392719–987safer443–613241–409684–1022
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction74.8666.87safe70.83–78.8962.55–71.20safer69.54–80.1861.24–72.51
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2411.3623.61safe9.41–15.088.42–14.3117.83–29.39safer8.65–15.847.67–15.0616.32–30.89
Offsides
19%
19%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.272.373.64safe0.10–2.431.28–3.461.38–5.89safer0.00–2.730.99–3.750.79–6.48
Yellow cards
31%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.193.93safe0.69–2.791.06–3.321.75–6.11safer0.43–3.060.77–3.611.19–6.67
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
25%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.455.81safe0.93–3.801.89–5.012.82–8.80safer0.54–4.191.47–5.432.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.62 0.44–2.88 | 1.00 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.08 | 2.66 0.83–4.48 0.35–4.96 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.21 3.35–7.07 2.86–7.56 | 3.39 1.65–5.13 1.18–5.60 | 8.60 5.00–12.21 4.04–13.16 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 16.86 12.93–20.78 11.84–21.87 | 9.41 5.84–12.97 4.88–13.93 | 26.27 18.78–33.75 16.73–35.80 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 10.98 8.04–13.93 7.21–14.76 | 6.83 4.15–9.51 3.41–10.25 | 17.81 12.19–23.44 10.62–25.00 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.88 2.99–6.76 2.45–7.30 | 2.95 1.30–4.61 0.81–5.10 | 7.83 4.30–11.37 3.26–12.40 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.38 4.16–8.59 3.59–9.16 | 3.84 1.84–5.84 1.30–6.37 | 10.21 6.00–14.43 4.89–15.54 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 60.43 53.64–67.22 51.97–68.89 | 39.05 32.27–45.84 30.59–47.51 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 528 461–595 443–613 | 325 259–392 241–409 | 853 719–987 684–1022 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.86 70.83–78.89 69.54–80.18 | 66.87 62.55–71.20 61.24–72.51 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 12.24 9.41–15.08 8.65–15.84 | 11.36 8.42–14.31 7.67–15.06 | 23.61 17.83–29.39 16.32–30.89 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.27 0.10–2.43 0.00–2.73 | 2.37 1.28–3.46 0.99–3.75 | 3.64 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 19% 19% 62% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 3.93 1.75–6.11 1.19–6.67 | 31% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 3.45 1.89–5.01 1.47–5.43 | 5.81 2.82–8.80 2.01–9.62 | 25% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+