Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.433.19safe0.80–2.730.57–2.281.37–5.02safer0.55–2.990.34–2.510.89–5.50
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.804.4710.27safe3.94–7.672.72–6.216.66–13.87safer3.45–8.162.26–6.675.71–14.83
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5811.1727.75safe12.65–20.507.61–14.7320.26–35.24safer11.56–21.596.65–15.6918.21–37.29
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction11.638.3720.00safe8.69–14.575.69–11.0614.38–25.63safer7.86–15.404.96–11.7912.81–27.19
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.763.017.77safe2.88–6.641.35–4.664.23–11.30safer2.33–7.180.86–5.153.19–12.34
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.264.2010.46safe4.04–8.472.20–6.206.25–14.67safer3.47–9.041.67–6.745.14–15.78
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction53.5645.80safe46.77–60.3539.01–52.58safer45.10–62.0237.34–54.25
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction516449966safe449–584383–516832–1099safer431–602365–533796–1135
Pass accuracy %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction78.2573.95safe74.22–82.2869.63–78.28safer72.93–83.5768.32–79.59
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0811.0722.15safe8.25–13.928.12–14.0116.37–27.93safer7.49–14.687.38–14.7614.87–29.44
Offsides
54%
19%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.421.684.10safe1.26–3.580.59–2.771.84–6.35safer0.96–3.880.30–3.061.26–6.94
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.223.84safe0.57–2.661.09–3.351.66–6.02safer0.30–2.930.80–3.641.10–6.57
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.893.816.70safe1.45–4.322.26–5.373.71–9.70safer1.06–4.711.83–5.802.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.73 0.55–2.99 | 1.43 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.51 | 3.19 1.37–5.02 0.89–5.50 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.80 3.94–7.67 3.45–8.16 | 4.47 2.72–6.21 2.26–6.67 | 10.27 6.66–13.87 5.71–14.83 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 16.58 12.65–20.50 11.56–21.59 | 11.17 7.61–14.73 6.65–15.69 | 27.75 20.26–35.24 18.21–37.29 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 11.63 8.69–14.57 7.86–15.40 | 8.37 5.69–11.06 4.96–11.79 | 20.00 14.38–25.63 12.81–27.19 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.76 2.88–6.64 2.33–7.18 | 3.01 1.35–4.66 0.86–5.15 | 7.77 4.23–11.30 3.19–12.34 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 6.26 4.04–8.47 3.47–9.04 | 4.20 2.20–6.20 1.67–6.74 | 10.46 6.25–14.67 5.14–15.78 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 53.56 46.77–60.35 45.10–62.02 | 45.80 39.01–52.58 37.34–54.25 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 516 449–584 431–602 | 449 383–516 365–533 | 966 832–1099 796–1135 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.25 74.22–82.28 72.93–83.57 | 73.95 69.63–78.28 68.32–79.59 | — | 69% 27% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.25–13.92 7.49–14.68 | 11.07 8.12–14.01 7.38–14.76 | 22.15 16.37–27.93 14.87–29.44 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.42 1.26–3.58 0.96–3.88 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 4.10 1.84–6.35 1.26–6.94 | 54% 19% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.10–6.57 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.45–4.32 1.06–4.71 | 3.81 2.26–5.37 1.83–5.80 | 6.70 3.71–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+