Premier League·Regular Season - 14·
Premier League·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
20%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction0.992.163.15safe0.02–1.961.31–3.021.33–4.97safer0.00–2.211.08–3.250.85–5.45
Shots on target
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.566.009.55safe1.69–5.424.25–7.745.95–13.16safer1.21–5.913.79–8.204.99–14.11
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3216.8328.15safe7.40–15.2413.27–20.3920.66–35.64safer6.30–16.3412.31–21.3518.61–37.69
Shots in box
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0810.8817.96safe4.14–10.028.20–13.5612.34–23.59safer3.31–10.857.46–14.3010.77–25.15
Blocked shots
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.034.687.71safe1.15–4.913.02–6.334.17–11.24safer0.60–5.452.53–6.823.13–12.28
Corners
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction4.116.3510.46safe1.90–6.324.35–8.356.25–14.67safer1.32–6.903.81–8.885.14–15.78
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction34.3166.86safe27.52–41.1060.07–73.64safer25.85–42.7758.40–75.31
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction322630952safe255–389564–697818–1086safer237–407546–714783–1121
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction64.5482.98safe60.51–68.5778.65–87.30safer59.22–69.8677.34–88.61
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction12.439.9722.40safe9.60–15.277.02–12.9116.62–28.18safer8.84–16.036.28–13.6615.11–29.69
Offsides
51%
19%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.612.034.64safe1.45–3.770.94–3.122.38–6.89safer1.15–4.070.65–3.411.80–7.48
Yellow cards
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.603.67safe1.03–3.120.47–2.731.49–5.85safer0.76–3.390.18–3.020.94–6.41
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.060.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.380.00–0.76
GK saves
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.812.536.34safe2.38–5.250.97–4.083.35–9.33safer1.99–5.640.55–4.512.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 2.16 1.31–3.02 1.08–3.25 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 16% 20% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.56 1.69–5.42 1.21–5.91 | 6.00 4.25–7.74 3.79–8.20 | 9.55 5.95–13.16 4.99–14.11 | 17% 74% |
| Total shots | 11.32 7.40–15.24 6.30–16.34 | 16.83 13.27–20.39 12.31–21.35 | 28.15 20.66–35.64 18.61–37.69 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 7.08 4.14–10.02 3.31–10.85 | 10.88 8.20–13.56 7.46–14.30 | 17.96 12.34–23.59 10.77–25.15 | 15% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 3.03 1.15–4.91 0.60–5.45 | 4.68 3.02–6.33 2.53–6.82 | 7.71 4.17–11.24 3.13–12.28 | 22% 66% |
| Corners | 4.11 1.90–6.32 1.32–6.90 | 6.35 4.35–8.35 3.81–8.88 | 10.46 6.25–14.67 5.14–15.78 | 20% 70% |
| Possession % | 34.31 27.52–41.10 25.85–42.77 | 66.86 60.07–73.64 58.40–75.31 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 322 255–389 237–407 | 630 564–697 546–714 | 952 818–1086 783–1121 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.54 60.51–68.57 59.22–69.86 | 82.98 78.65–87.30 77.34–88.61 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 12.43 9.60–15.27 8.84–16.03 | 9.97 7.02–12.91 6.28–13.66 | 22.40 16.62–28.18 15.11–29.69 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 2.61 1.45–3.77 1.15–4.07 | 2.03 0.94–3.12 0.65–3.41 | 4.64 2.38–6.89 1.80–7.48 | 51% 19% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.03–3.12 0.76–3.39 | 1.60 0.47–2.73 0.18–3.02 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.81 2.38–5.25 1.99–5.64 | 2.53 0.97–4.08 0.55–4.51 | 6.34 3.35–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 62% 14% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.