Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.332.83safe0.54–2.470.47–2.181.01–4.65safer0.28–2.720.24–2.410.53–5.13
Shots on target
37%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.334.809.14safe2.47–6.203.06–6.555.53–12.74safer1.98–6.692.59–7.014.58–13.70
Total shots
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0913.9826.07safe8.16–16.0110.42–17.5518.58–33.56safer7.07–17.109.46–18.5116.53–35.61
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction8.039.2017.23safe5.09–10.976.52–11.8811.60–22.85safer4.26–11.805.78–12.6210.04–24.42
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.833.707.53safe1.95–5.712.05–5.364.00–11.07safer1.40–6.261.56–5.852.96–12.11
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.285.0210.30safe3.07–7.503.02–7.026.09–14.51safer2.50–8.072.48–7.554.98–15.62
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.4451.47safe42.65–56.2344.68–58.25safer40.98–57.9043.01–59.92
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction458482940safe391–525415–548806–1074safer373–544398–566771–1110
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction71.2875.21safe67.25–75.3170.89–79.54safer65.96–76.6069.58–80.85
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9812.1822.16safe7.14–12.829.24–15.1316.38–27.94safer6.38–13.578.49–15.8814.87–29.45
Offsides
55%
19%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.481.704.17safe1.32–3.640.60–2.791.92–6.43safer1.02–3.940.32–3.081.33–7.02
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.334.29safe0.91–3.011.20–3.462.11–6.47safer0.64–3.270.91–3.751.55–7.02
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.232.866.10safe1.80–4.671.31–4.423.10–9.09safer1.41–5.060.88–4.842.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.54–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.41 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.47–6.20 1.98–6.69 | 4.80 3.06–6.55 2.59–7.01 | 9.14 5.53–12.74 4.58–13.70 | 37% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 12.09 8.16–16.01 7.07–17.10 | 13.98 10.42–17.55 9.46–18.51 | 26.07 18.58–33.56 16.53–35.61 | 32% 61% |
| Shots in box | 8.03 5.09–10.97 4.26–11.80 | 9.20 6.52–11.88 5.78–12.62 | 17.23 11.60–22.85 10.04–24.42 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.95–5.71 1.40–6.26 | 3.70 2.05–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 7.53 4.00–11.07 2.96–12.11 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.50 2.50–8.07 | 5.02 3.02–7.02 2.48–7.55 | 10.30 6.09–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 49.44 42.65–56.23 40.98–57.90 | 51.47 44.68–58.25 43.01–59.92 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 458 391–525 373–544 | 482 415–548 398–566 | 940 806–1074 771–1110 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.28 67.25–75.31 65.96–76.60 | 75.21 70.89–79.54 69.58–80.85 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 9.98 7.14–12.82 6.38–13.57 | 12.18 9.24–15.13 8.49–15.88 | 22.16 16.38–27.94 14.87–29.45 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 2.48 1.32–3.64 1.02–3.94 | 1.70 0.60–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 4.17 1.92–6.43 1.33–7.02 | 55% 19% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.64–3.27 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.29 2.11–6.47 1.55–7.02 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.80–4.67 1.41–5.06 | 2.86 1.31–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 6.10 3.10–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+