Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.232.80safe0.60–2.540.38–2.090.98–4.63safer0.35–2.790.15–2.320.50–5.11
Shots on target
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.834.249.07safe2.97–6.692.50–5.995.47–12.68safer2.48–7.182.03–6.454.51–13.63
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4711.5526.03safe10.55–18.407.99–15.1218.54–33.51safer9.46–19.497.03–16.0816.49–35.56
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.818.0218.83safe7.87–13.765.33–10.7013.21–24.45safer7.04–14.594.60–11.4311.64–26.02
Blocked shots
55%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.483.648.12safe2.60–6.371.99–5.294.59–11.66safer2.06–6.911.50–5.793.55–12.69
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction6.004.8010.80safe3.79–8.222.80–6.806.59–15.02safer3.22–8.792.27–7.335.48–16.12
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction44.7754.63safe37.98–51.5647.84–61.41safer36.31–53.2346.17–63.09
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction421517937safe353–488450–583804–1071safer335–506433–601768–1107
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction67.6775.00safe63.64–71.7070.67–79.32safer62.35–72.9969.36–80.63
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7010.7620.46safe6.86–12.547.82–13.7114.68–26.25safer6.11–13.297.07–14.4613.18–27.75
Offsides
61%
20%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.143.32safe1.02–3.340.04–2.231.06–5.57safer0.72–3.640.00–2.520.47–6.16
Yellow cards
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.773.14safe0.33–2.420.64–2.900.97–5.32safer0.06–2.690.35–3.190.41–5.88
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.156.01safe1.43–4.301.59–4.703.02–9.00safer1.04–4.691.17–5.132.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.54 0.35–2.79 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.80 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.97–6.69 2.48–7.18 | 4.24 2.50–5.99 2.03–6.45 | 9.07 5.47–12.68 4.51–13.63 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 14.47 10.55–18.40 9.46–19.49 | 11.55 7.99–15.12 7.03–16.08 | 26.03 18.54–33.51 16.49–35.56 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 10.81 7.87–13.76 7.04–14.59 | 8.02 5.33–10.70 4.60–11.43 | 18.83 13.21–24.45 11.64–26.02 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.48 2.60–6.37 2.06–6.91 | 3.64 1.99–5.29 1.50–5.79 | 8.12 4.59–11.66 3.55–12.69 | 55% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 6.00 3.79–8.22 3.22–8.79 | 4.80 2.80–6.80 2.27–7.33 | 10.80 6.59–15.02 5.48–16.12 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 44.77 37.98–51.56 36.31–53.23 | 54.63 47.84–61.41 46.17–63.09 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 421 353–488 335–506 | 517 450–583 433–601 | 937 804–1071 768–1107 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.67 63.64–71.70 62.35–72.99 | 75.00 70.67–79.32 69.36–80.63 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 9.70 6.86–12.54 6.11–13.29 | 10.76 7.82–13.71 7.07–14.46 | 20.46 14.68–26.25 13.18–27.75 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.18 1.02–3.34 0.72–3.64 | 1.14 0.04–2.23 0.00–2.52 | 3.32 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.16 | 61% 20% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.14 0.97–5.32 0.41–5.88 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 3.15 1.59–4.70 1.17–5.13 | 6.01 3.02–9.00 2.21–9.82 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.