Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
26%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.112.61safe0.53–2.460.26–1.970.79–4.43safer0.28–2.720.03–2.200.31–4.91
Shots on target
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.834.269.08safe2.96–6.692.52–6.005.48–12.69safer2.47–7.182.05–6.474.52–13.64
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1012.2827.38safe11.18–19.038.72–15.8419.89–34.87safer10.09–20.127.76–16.8017.84–36.92
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction10.217.7617.97safe7.27–13.155.08–10.4412.34–23.59safer6.44–13.984.34–11.1810.78–25.16
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.323.387.70safe2.44–6.201.73–5.034.16–11.23safer1.89–6.751.23–5.523.13–12.27
Corners
65%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction6.264.5110.76safe4.04–8.472.51–6.516.55–14.98safer3.47–9.041.98–7.045.44–16.08
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction49.4950.42safe42.70–56.2843.64–57.21safer41.03–57.9541.97–58.88
Passes
52%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction436431867safe369–504364–497734–1001safer351–522347–515698–1037
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction70.4972.03safe66.46–74.5267.70–76.35safer65.17–75.8166.39–77.66
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6512.1922.84safe7.81–13.499.25–15.1417.06–28.62safer7.05–14.248.50–15.8815.55–30.13
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.903.64safe0.58–2.900.80–2.991.38–5.89safer0.28–3.200.51–3.280.79–6.48
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.133.62safe0.44–2.541.00–3.261.44–5.80safer0.18–2.810.71–3.550.89–6.36
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.396.19safe1.36–4.231.84–4.953.19–9.18safer0.97–4.621.41–5.372.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.46 0.28–2.72 | 1.11 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.20 | 2.61 0.79–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 46% 26% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.96–6.69 2.47–7.18 | 4.26 2.52–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 9.08 5.48–12.69 4.52–13.64 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 15.10 11.18–19.03 10.09–20.12 | 12.28 8.72–15.84 7.76–16.80 | 27.38 19.89–34.87 17.84–36.92 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 10.21 7.27–13.15 6.44–13.98 | 7.76 5.08–10.44 4.34–11.18 | 17.97 12.34–23.59 10.78–25.16 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.44–6.20 1.89–6.75 | 3.38 1.73–5.03 1.23–5.52 | 7.70 4.16–11.23 3.13–12.27 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 6.26 4.04–8.47 3.47–9.04 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.04 | 10.76 6.55–14.98 5.44–16.08 | 65% 25% |
| Possession % | 49.49 42.70–56.28 41.03–57.95 | 50.42 43.64–57.21 41.97–58.88 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 436 369–504 351–522 | 431 364–497 347–515 | 867 734–1001 698–1037 | 52% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.49 66.46–74.52 65.17–75.81 | 72.03 67.70–76.35 66.39–77.66 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 10.65 7.81–13.49 7.05–14.24 | 12.19 9.25–15.14 8.50–15.88 | 22.84 17.06–28.62 15.55–30.13 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.90 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.28 | 3.64 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.18–2.81 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.36–4.23 0.97–4.62 | 3.39 1.84–4.95 1.41–5.37 | 6.19 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+