Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.892.99safe0.13–2.071.03–2.741.16–4.81safer0.00–2.320.80–2.970.68–5.29
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.285.449.72safe2.42–6.143.70–7.186.11–13.32safer1.93–6.633.23–7.655.15–14.28
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0514.4027.45safe9.12–16.9710.84–17.9619.96–34.93safer8.03–18.069.88–18.9217.91–36.98
Shots in box
27%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction7.789.7917.58safe4.84–10.727.11–12.4711.95–23.20safer4.01–11.556.38–13.2110.39–24.77
Blocked shots
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.034.098.12safe2.15–5.912.44–5.744.58–11.65safer1.60–6.451.94–6.243.55–12.69
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.014.849.85safe2.80–7.222.84–6.845.64–14.07safer2.22–7.802.31–7.374.53–15.17
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction50.1250.75safe43.33–56.9143.96–57.53safer41.66–58.5842.29–59.20
Passes
51%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction449447896safe382–516380–513762–1029safer364–534363–531726–1065
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction74.6177.34safe70.58–78.6473.01–81.66safer69.29–79.9371.70–82.97
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2911.4824.77safe10.45–16.138.54–14.4318.99–30.55safer9.69–16.887.79–15.1817.48–32.06
Offsides
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.163.58safe0.26–2.581.07–3.251.33–5.83safer0.00–2.880.78–3.540.74–6.42
Yellow cards
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.242.094.34safe1.19–3.290.96–3.222.16–6.51safer0.93–3.560.67–3.511.60–7.07
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.17safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.302.926.22safe1.86–4.741.36–4.483.23–9.21safer1.48–5.120.94–4.902.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 1.89 1.03–2.74 0.80–2.97 | 2.99 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Shots on target | 4.28 2.42–6.14 1.93–6.63 | 5.44 3.70–7.18 3.23–7.65 | 9.72 6.11–13.32 5.15–14.28 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 13.05 9.12–16.97 8.03–18.06 | 14.40 10.84–17.96 9.88–18.92 | 27.45 19.96–34.93 17.91–36.98 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 7.78 4.84–10.72 4.01–11.55 | 9.79 7.11–12.47 6.38–13.21 | 17.58 11.95–23.20 10.39–24.77 | 27% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 4.03 2.15–5.91 1.60–6.45 | 4.09 2.44–5.74 1.94–6.24 | 8.12 4.58–11.65 3.55–12.69 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.80–7.22 2.22–7.80 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.37 | 9.85 5.64–14.07 4.53–15.17 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 50.12 43.33–56.91 41.66–58.58 | 50.75 43.96–57.53 42.29–59.20 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 449 382–516 364–534 | 447 380–513 363–531 | 896 762–1029 726–1065 | 51% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.61 70.58–78.64 69.29–79.93 | 77.34 73.01–81.66 71.70–82.97 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 13.29 10.45–16.13 9.69–16.88 | 11.48 8.54–14.43 7.79–15.18 | 24.77 18.99–30.55 17.48–32.06 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 2.16 1.07–3.25 0.78–3.54 | 3.58 1.33–5.83 0.74–6.42 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.19–3.29 0.93–3.56 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 4.34 2.16–6.51 1.60–7.07 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.86–4.74 1.48–5.12 | 2.92 1.36–4.48 0.94–4.90 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.42–10.03 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+