Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
24%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.710.952.65safe0.74–2.680.09–1.800.83–4.48safer0.49–2.930.00–2.030.35–4.96
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.783.519.29safe3.91–7.641.77–5.265.68–12.89safer3.42–8.131.31–5.724.73–13.85
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.079.9327.00safe13.15–21.006.37–13.4919.51–34.49safer12.05–22.095.41–14.4517.46–36.54
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction11.177.4318.60safe8.23–14.114.75–10.1112.98–24.22safer7.40–14.944.01–10.8511.41–25.79
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.182.727.91safe3.30–7.071.07–4.374.37–11.44safer2.76–7.610.58–4.873.34–12.48
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.694.0810.77safe4.48–8.902.08–6.086.56–14.98safer3.90–9.481.55–6.625.45–16.09
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.8836.10safe57.09–70.6729.32–42.89safer55.42–72.3427.65–44.56
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction577337914safe510–644270–403780–1047safer492–663253–421744–1083
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction79.4966.15safe75.46–83.5261.82–70.47safer74.16–84.8160.52–71.78
Fouls
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction11.799.7621.55safe8.96–14.636.81–12.7015.77–27.33safer8.20–15.396.06–13.4514.26–28.84
Offsides
31%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.683.02safe0.18–2.500.59–2.770.77–5.28safer0.00–2.800.30–3.060.18–5.87
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.033.68safe0.60–2.700.90–3.161.51–5.86safer0.34–2.970.61–3.450.95–6.42
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
21%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.403.936.32safe0.96–3.832.37–5.483.33–9.32safer0.57–4.221.95–5.912.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.74–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 0.95 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 2.65 0.83–4.48 0.35–4.96 | 55% 24% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.78 3.91–7.64 3.42–8.13 | 3.51 1.77–5.26 1.31–5.72 | 9.29 5.68–12.89 4.73–13.85 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 17.07 13.15–21.00 12.05–22.09 | 9.93 6.37–13.49 5.41–14.45 | 27.00 19.51–34.49 17.46–36.54 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.17 8.23–14.11 7.40–14.94 | 7.43 4.75–10.11 4.01–10.85 | 18.60 12.98–24.22 11.41–25.79 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 5.18 3.30–7.07 2.76–7.61 | 2.72 1.07–4.37 0.58–4.87 | 7.91 4.37–11.44 3.34–12.48 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.69 4.48–8.90 3.90–9.48 | 4.08 2.08–6.08 1.55–6.62 | 10.77 6.56–14.98 5.45–16.09 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 63.88 57.09–70.67 55.42–72.34 | 36.10 29.32–42.89 27.65–44.56 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 577 510–644 492–663 | 337 270–403 253–421 | 914 780–1047 744–1083 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.49 75.46–83.52 74.16–84.81 | 66.15 61.82–70.47 60.52–71.78 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.79 8.96–14.63 8.20–15.39 | 9.76 6.81–12.70 6.06–13.45 | 21.55 15.77–27.33 14.26–28.84 | 63% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.34 0.18–2.50 0.00–2.80 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.02 0.77–5.28 0.18–5.87 | 31% 24% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.34–2.97 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.68 1.51–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 3.93 2.37–5.48 1.95–5.91 | 6.32 3.33–9.32 2.52–10.13 | 21% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.