Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.622.88safe0.30–2.230.76–2.471.06–4.70safer0.04–2.480.53–2.700.58–5.18
Shots on target
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.295.279.56safe2.43–6.153.52–7.015.95–13.16safer1.94–6.643.06–7.475.00–14.12
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0814.1126.19safe8.15–16.0010.54–17.6718.70–33.67safer7.06–17.109.59–18.6316.65–35.72
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1810.0819.26safe6.24–12.137.40–12.7613.64–24.89safer5.41–12.966.66–13.5012.07–26.45
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.304.227.52safe1.42–5.192.57–5.873.99–11.06safer0.88–5.732.07–6.362.95–12.09
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.495.6710.16safe2.28–6.713.67–7.675.95–14.38safer1.70–7.283.14–8.204.84–15.48
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.9365.47safe29.14–42.7258.69–72.26safer27.47–44.3957.02–73.93
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction310588897safe242–377521–654764–1031safer224–395504–672728–1067
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction63.7681.38safe59.73–67.7977.06–85.71safer58.44–69.0975.75–87.02
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4410.4222.86safe9.60–15.287.47–13.3617.07–28.64safer8.84–16.036.72–14.1115.57–30.14
Offsides
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.264.07safe0.64–2.961.17–3.361.81–6.32safer0.34–3.270.88–3.641.23–6.91
Yellow cards
49%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.804.08safe1.23–3.330.68–2.931.90–6.26safer0.96–3.590.38–3.221.35–6.82
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.070.17safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.390.00–0.80
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.232.625.86safe1.80–4.671.07–4.182.86–8.85safer1.41–5.060.64–4.602.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.30–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.62 0.76–2.47 0.53–2.70 | 2.88 1.06–4.70 0.58–5.18 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.29 2.43–6.15 1.94–6.64 | 5.27 3.52–7.01 3.06–7.47 | 9.56 5.95–13.16 5.00–14.12 | 32% 56% |
| Total shots | 12.08 8.15–16.00 7.06–17.10 | 14.11 10.54–17.67 9.59–18.63 | 26.19 18.70–33.67 16.65–35.72 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 9.18 6.24–12.13 5.41–12.96 | 10.08 7.40–12.76 6.66–13.50 | 19.26 13.64–24.89 12.07–26.45 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.30 1.42–5.19 0.88–5.73 | 4.22 2.57–5.87 2.07–6.36 | 7.52 3.99–11.06 2.95–12.09 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.49 2.28–6.71 1.70–7.28 | 5.67 3.67–7.67 3.14–8.20 | 10.16 5.95–14.38 4.84–15.48 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 35.93 29.14–42.72 27.47–44.39 | 65.47 58.69–72.26 57.02–73.93 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 310 242–377 224–395 | 588 521–654 504–672 | 897 764–1031 728–1067 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.76 59.73–67.79 58.44–69.09 | 81.38 77.06–85.71 75.75–87.02 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 12.44 9.60–15.28 8.84–16.03 | 10.42 7.47–13.36 6.72–14.11 | 22.86 17.07–28.64 15.57–30.14 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.27 | 2.26 1.17–3.36 0.88–3.64 | 4.07 1.81–6.32 1.23–6.91 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 2.28 1.23–3.33 0.96–3.59 | 1.80 0.68–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 4.08 1.90–6.26 1.35–6.82 | 49% 20% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.80–4.67 1.41–5.06 | 2.62 1.07–4.18 0.64–4.60 | 5.86 2.86–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.