Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.072.69safe0.66–2.590.21–1.920.87–4.51safer0.40–2.840.00–2.150.39–4.99
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.633.489.11safe3.77–7.491.73–5.225.50–12.71safer3.28–7.981.27–5.694.55–13.67
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction16.619.2025.81safe12.69–20.545.64–12.7618.33–33.30safer11.60–21.634.68–13.7216.27–35.35
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.816.8317.64safe7.87–13.754.15–9.5112.02–23.26safer7.04–14.583.41–10.2510.45–24.83
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.963.148.10safe3.08–6.841.49–4.794.57–11.64safer2.53–7.391.00–5.293.53–12.67
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.413.7810.18safe4.19–8.621.78–5.785.97–14.40safer3.62–9.191.24–6.314.86–15.50
Possession %
83%
15%
homeawayprediction58.4241.52safe51.63–65.2134.74–48.31safer49.96–66.8833.07–49.98
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction526356882safe459–593290–422748–1016safer441–611272–440713–1051
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction74.1768.63safe70.14–78.2064.30–72.95safer68.85–79.4962.99–74.26
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4010.3621.76safe8.56–14.247.42–13.3115.98–27.54safer7.81–14.996.67–14.0514.48–29.05
Offsides
32%
19%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.474.45safe0.82–3.141.38–3.562.20–6.71safer0.52–3.441.09–3.851.61–7.29
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.863.58safe0.68–2.770.73–2.981.40–5.76safer0.41–3.040.44–3.280.84–6.32
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.786.16safe0.94–3.822.22–5.343.17–9.15safer0.56–4.201.80–5.762.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.66–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.07 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 50% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.63 3.77–7.49 3.28–7.98 | 3.48 1.73–5.22 1.27–5.69 | 9.11 5.50–12.71 4.55–13.67 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.61 12.69–20.54 11.60–21.63 | 9.20 5.64–12.76 4.68–13.72 | 25.81 18.33–33.30 16.27–35.35 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 10.81 7.87–13.75 7.04–14.58 | 6.83 4.15–9.51 3.41–10.25 | 17.64 12.02–23.26 10.45–24.83 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.96 3.08–6.84 2.53–7.39 | 3.14 1.49–4.79 1.00–5.29 | 8.10 4.57–11.64 3.53–12.67 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.41 4.19–8.62 3.62–9.19 | 3.78 1.78–5.78 1.24–6.31 | 10.18 5.97–14.40 4.86–15.50 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 58.42 51.63–65.21 49.96–66.88 | 41.52 34.74–48.31 33.07–49.98 | — | 83% 15% |
| Passes | 526 459–593 441–611 | 356 290–422 272–440 | 882 748–1016 713–1051 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.17 70.14–78.20 68.85–79.49 | 68.63 64.30–72.95 62.99–74.26 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 11.40 8.56–14.24 7.81–14.99 | 10.36 7.42–13.31 6.67–14.05 | 21.76 15.98–27.54 14.48–29.05 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 2.47 1.38–3.56 1.09–3.85 | 4.45 2.20–6.71 1.61–7.29 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.68–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 1.86 0.73–2.98 0.44–3.28 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.84–6.32 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.82 0.56–4.20 | 3.78 2.22–5.34 1.80–5.76 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+