Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.062.71safe0.68–2.620.20–1.910.88–4.53safer0.43–2.870.00–2.140.41–5.01
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.403.769.16safe3.54–7.262.02–5.515.56–12.77safer3.05–7.751.56–5.974.60–13.73
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1511.4628.62safe13.23–21.087.90–15.0321.13–36.10safer12.14–22.176.94–15.9819.08–38.15
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction11.077.3618.43safe8.13–14.014.68–10.0412.81–24.06safer7.30–14.843.94–10.7811.24–25.62
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.013.178.18safe3.13–6.901.52–4.824.65–11.72safer2.59–7.441.02–5.313.61–12.75
Corners
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.334.5110.84safe4.11–8.542.51–6.516.63–15.05safer3.54–9.121.98–7.045.52–16.16
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction49.6149.72safe42.82–56.4042.93–56.50safer41.15–58.0741.26–58.17
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction421428850safe354–489362–495716–983safer336–507344–512680–1019
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction68.6172.34safe64.58–72.6468.01–76.66safer63.29–73.9366.70–77.97
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5810.6422.21safe8.74–14.417.69–13.5816.43–27.99safer7.98–15.176.94–14.3314.92–29.50
Offsides
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.073.68safe0.45–2.770.98–3.161.42–5.93safer0.14–3.070.69–3.450.83–6.52
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.913.48safe0.52–2.620.78–3.041.30–5.66safer0.25–2.880.49–3.330.74–6.22
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.713.386.10safe1.28–4.151.83–4.943.10–9.09safer0.89–4.541.40–5.362.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.68–2.62 0.43–2.87 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.71 0.88–4.53 0.41–5.01 | 51% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.40 3.54–7.26 3.05–7.75 | 3.76 2.02–5.51 1.56–5.97 | 9.16 5.56–12.77 4.60–13.73 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 17.15 13.23–21.08 12.14–22.17 | 11.46 7.90–15.03 6.94–15.98 | 28.62 21.13–36.10 19.08–38.15 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 11.07 8.13–14.01 7.30–14.84 | 7.36 4.68–10.04 3.94–10.78 | 18.43 12.81–24.06 11.24–25.62 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 5.01 3.13–6.90 2.59–7.44 | 3.17 1.52–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 8.18 4.65–11.72 3.61–12.75 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.33 4.11–8.54 3.54–9.12 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.04 | 10.84 6.63–15.05 5.52–16.16 | 66% 24% |
| Possession % | 49.61 42.82–56.40 41.15–58.07 | 49.72 42.93–56.50 41.26–58.17 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 421 354–489 336–507 | 428 362–495 344–512 | 850 716–983 680–1019 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.61 64.58–72.64 63.29–73.93 | 72.34 68.01–76.66 66.70–77.97 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.58 8.74–14.41 7.98–15.17 | 10.64 7.69–13.58 6.94–14.33 | 22.21 16.43–27.99 14.92–29.50 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.14–3.07 | 2.07 0.98–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 3.68 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.22 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 3.38 1.83–4.94 1.40–5.36 | 6.10 3.10–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.