Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
23%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.012.86safe0.88–2.820.16–1.871.04–4.69safer0.63–3.070.00–2.090.56–5.17
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.933.959.88safe4.07–7.792.21–5.696.28–13.49safer3.58–8.281.74–6.165.32–14.44
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.9310.3628.30safe14.01–21.866.80–13.9320.81–35.79safer12.92–22.955.84–14.8918.76–37.84
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction12.097.3919.48safe9.15–15.034.71–10.0713.86–25.11safer8.32–15.863.98–10.8112.29–26.67
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.212.577.77safe3.32–7.090.91–4.224.24–11.31safer2.78–7.630.42–4.713.20–12.34
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction7.023.9310.95safe4.81–9.231.93–5.936.74–15.17safer4.23–9.811.40–6.475.63–16.27
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.5939.05safe53.80–67.3832.26–45.83safer52.13–69.0530.59–47.51
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction546372917safe478–613305–438784–1051safer460–631288–456748–1087
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction79.6170.13safe75.58–83.6465.81–74.46safer74.28–84.9364.50–75.77
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2210.9222.14safe8.38–14.067.98–13.8716.36–27.93safer7.63–14.817.23–14.6214.86–29.43
Offsides
39%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.703.39safe0.53–2.850.60–2.791.13–5.64safer0.23–3.150.31–3.080.54–6.23
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.123.93safe0.77–2.870.99–3.241.76–6.11safer0.50–3.130.70–3.541.20–6.67
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
21%
13%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.514.056.56safe1.08–3.952.49–5.613.57–9.55safer0.69–4.342.07–6.032.76–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.85 0.88–2.82 0.63–3.07 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.09 | 2.86 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 57% 23% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.93 4.07–7.79 3.58–8.28 | 3.95 2.21–5.69 1.74–6.16 | 9.88 6.28–13.49 5.32–14.44 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 17.93 14.01–21.86 12.92–22.95 | 10.36 6.80–13.93 5.84–14.89 | 28.30 20.81–35.79 18.76–37.84 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 12.09 9.15–15.03 8.32–15.86 | 7.39 4.71–10.07 3.98–10.81 | 19.48 13.86–25.11 12.29–26.67 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 5.21 3.32–7.09 2.78–7.63 | 2.57 0.91–4.22 0.42–4.71 | 7.77 4.24–11.31 3.20–12.34 | 78% |
| Corners | 7.02 4.81–9.23 4.23–9.81 | 3.93 1.93–5.93 1.40–6.47 | 10.95 6.74–15.17 5.63–16.27 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 60.59 53.80–67.38 52.13–69.05 | 39.05 32.26–45.83 30.59–47.51 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 546 478–613 460–631 | 372 305–438 288–456 | 917 784–1051 748–1087 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.61 75.58–83.64 74.28–84.93 | 70.13 65.81–74.46 64.50–75.77 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.38–14.06 7.63–14.81 | 10.92 7.98–13.87 7.23–14.62 | 22.14 16.36–27.93 14.86–29.43 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.70 0.60–2.79 0.31–3.08 | 3.39 1.13–5.64 0.54–6.23 | 39% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 2.12 0.99–3.24 0.70–3.54 | 3.93 1.76–6.11 1.20–6.67 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 4.05 2.49–5.61 2.07–6.03 | 6.56 3.57–9.55 2.76–10.36 | 21% 13% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.