Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.252.73safe0.52–2.460.39–2.100.91–4.56safer0.27–2.710.16–2.330.43–5.04
Shots on target
45%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.449.05safe2.75–6.472.70–6.195.45–12.66safer2.26–6.962.24–6.654.49–13.61
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1811.8726.05safe10.26–18.118.31–15.4318.56–33.54safer9.16–19.207.35–16.3916.51–35.59
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.948.2318.16safe6.99–12.885.55–10.9112.54–23.79safer6.17–13.714.81–11.6510.97–25.35
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.237.39safe2.28–6.041.57–4.883.85–10.92safer1.73–6.591.08–5.372.82–11.96
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.6510.31safe3.45–7.872.65–6.656.09–14.52safer2.87–8.452.11–7.184.99–15.63
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction45.7254.12safe38.93–52.5147.34–60.91safer37.26–54.1845.67–62.58
Passes
22%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction400493893safe333–467426–559759–1027safer315–485409–577723–1062
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction69.7274.13safe65.69–73.7569.81–78.45safer64.40–75.0468.50–79.76
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2511.1721.42safe7.41–13.098.23–14.1215.64–27.20safer6.66–13.847.48–14.8614.13–28.71
Offsides
49%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.331.834.16safe1.17–3.490.74–2.931.91–6.42safer0.87–3.790.45–3.211.32–7.01
Yellow cards
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.993.36safe0.32–2.420.86–3.121.18–5.54safer0.05–2.680.57–3.410.62–6.10
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
40%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.106.07safe1.54–4.411.54–4.653.08–9.06safer1.15–4.801.12–5.082.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.25 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.33 | 2.73 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.47 2.26–6.96 | 4.44 2.70–6.19 2.24–6.65 | 9.05 5.45–12.66 4.49–13.61 | 45% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 14.18 10.26–18.11 9.16–19.20 | 11.87 8.31–15.43 7.35–16.39 | 26.05 18.56–33.54 16.51–35.59 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.94 6.99–12.88 6.17–13.71 | 8.23 5.55–10.91 4.81–11.65 | 18.16 12.54–23.79 10.97–25.35 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.28–6.04 1.73–6.59 | 3.23 1.57–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 7.39 3.85–10.92 2.82–11.96 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.66 3.45–7.87 2.87–8.45 | 4.65 2.65–6.65 2.11–7.18 | 10.31 6.09–14.52 4.99–15.63 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 45.72 38.93–52.51 37.26–54.18 | 54.12 47.34–60.91 45.67–62.58 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 400 333–467 315–485 | 493 426–559 409–577 | 893 759–1027 723–1062 | 22% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.72 65.69–73.75 64.40–75.04 | 74.13 69.81–78.45 68.50–79.76 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 10.25 7.41–13.09 6.66–13.84 | 11.17 8.23–14.12 7.48–14.86 | 21.42 15.64–27.20 14.13–28.71 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.33 1.17–3.49 0.87–3.79 | 1.83 0.74–2.93 0.45–3.21 | 4.16 1.91–6.42 1.32–7.01 | 49% 20% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.05–2.68 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.36 1.18–5.54 0.62–6.10 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.54–4.41 1.15–4.80 | 3.10 1.54–4.65 1.12–5.08 | 6.07 3.08–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 40% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.