Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.072.89safe0.85–2.790.22–1.931.07–4.72safer0.60–3.040.00–2.160.59–5.20
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.809.59safe3.93–7.662.05–5.545.98–13.19safer3.44–8.151.59–6.005.03–14.15
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6710.8527.52safe12.74–20.597.28–14.4120.03–35.00safer11.65–21.696.33–15.3717.98–37.05
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction11.697.5119.19safe8.74–14.634.83–10.1913.57–24.82safer7.91–15.464.09–10.9312.00–26.38
Blocked shots
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.513.377.88safe2.63–6.391.72–5.024.35–11.42safer2.09–6.941.22–5.513.31–12.45
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.754.109.85safe3.53–7.962.10–6.105.63–14.06safer2.96–8.531.57–6.634.53–15.17
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction52.2848.23safe45.49–59.0741.44–55.01safer43.82–60.7439.77–56.69
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction486439925safe419–553373–506792–1059safer401–571355–523756–1095
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction74.7877.02safe70.75–78.8172.70–81.35safer69.46–80.1071.39–82.66
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1010.5122.62safe9.27–14.947.57–13.4616.84–28.40safer8.51–15.706.82–14.2115.33–29.91
Offsides
30%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.414.29safe0.72–3.041.32–3.502.03–6.54safer0.42–3.341.03–3.791.45–7.13
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.093.90safe0.76–2.860.96–3.221.72–6.08safer0.49–3.120.67–3.511.17–6.64
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.886.54safe1.22–4.092.33–5.443.54–9.53safer0.83–4.481.90–5.862.73–10.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.82 0.85–2.79 0.60–3.04 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.89 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.79 3.93–7.66 3.44–8.15 | 3.80 2.05–5.54 1.59–6.00 | 9.59 5.98–13.19 5.03–14.15 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 16.67 12.74–20.59 11.65–21.69 | 10.85 7.28–14.41 6.33–15.37 | 27.52 20.03–35.00 17.98–37.05 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 11.69 8.74–14.63 7.91–15.46 | 7.51 4.83–10.19 4.09–10.93 | 19.19 13.57–24.82 12.00–26.38 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.51 2.63–6.39 2.09–6.94 | 3.37 1.72–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 7.88 4.35–11.42 3.31–12.45 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 5.75 3.53–7.96 2.96–8.53 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.57–6.63 | 9.85 5.63–14.06 4.53–15.17 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 52.28 45.49–59.07 43.82–60.74 | 48.23 41.44–55.01 39.77–56.69 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 486 419–553 401–571 | 439 373–506 355–523 | 925 792–1059 756–1095 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.78 70.75–78.81 69.46–80.10 | 77.02 72.70–81.35 71.39–82.66 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 12.10 9.27–14.94 8.51–15.70 | 10.51 7.57–13.46 6.82–14.21 | 22.62 16.84–28.40 15.33–29.91 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 2.41 1.32–3.50 1.03–3.79 | 4.29 2.03–6.54 1.45–7.13 | 30% 19% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.17–6.64 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 3.88 2.33–5.44 1.90–5.86 | 6.54 3.54–9.53 2.73–10.34 | 25% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.