Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
26%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.492.65safe0.19–2.120.64–2.350.82–4.47safer0.00–2.370.41–2.580.34–4.95
Shots on target
35%
13%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.224.859.07safe2.36–6.083.11–6.595.46–12.67safer1.87–6.572.64–7.064.51–13.63
Total shots
45%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9913.1726.16safe9.06–16.919.61–16.7418.67–33.65safer7.97–18.008.65–17.6916.62–35.70
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.969.4218.38safe6.02–11.906.74–12.1012.76–24.01safer5.19–12.736.01–12.8411.19–25.57
Blocked shots
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.964.178.13safe2.08–5.852.52–5.824.60–11.67safer1.54–6.392.03–6.323.56–12.70
Corners
42%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.245.4210.66safe3.02–7.453.42–7.426.45–14.87safer2.45–8.022.89–7.965.34–15.98
Possession %
24%
73%
homeawayprediction44.7355.95safe37.94–51.5249.16–62.73safer36.27–53.1947.49–64.40
Passes
19%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction411516927safe344–478450–583793–1061safer325–496432–600758–1096
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction68.4673.49safe64.43–72.4969.16–77.81safer63.14–73.7867.86–79.12
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4310.4721.89safe8.59–14.267.52–13.4116.11–27.67safer7.83–15.026.77–14.1614.61–29.18
Offsides
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.293.80safe0.35–2.671.20–3.381.54–6.05safer0.05–2.970.91–3.670.96–6.64
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.093.76safe0.63–2.720.96–3.221.59–5.94safer0.36–2.990.67–3.511.03–6.50
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.932.945.86safe1.49–4.361.38–4.492.87–8.86safer1.10–4.750.96–4.922.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.19–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.49 0.64–2.35 0.41–2.58 | 2.65 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 29% 26% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.22 2.36–6.08 1.87–6.57 | 4.85 3.11–6.59 2.64–7.06 | 9.07 5.46–12.67 4.51–13.63 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.99 9.06–16.91 7.97–18.00 | 13.17 9.61–16.74 8.65–17.69 | 26.16 18.67–33.65 16.62–35.70 | 45% 48% |
| Shots in box | 8.96 6.02–11.90 5.19–12.73 | 9.42 6.74–12.10 6.01–12.84 | 18.38 12.76–24.01 11.19–25.57 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.96 2.08–5.85 1.54–6.39 | 4.17 2.52–5.82 2.03–6.32 | 8.13 4.60–11.67 3.56–12.70 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 5.42 3.42–7.42 2.89–7.96 | 10.66 6.45–14.87 5.34–15.98 | 42% 46% |
| Possession % | 44.73 37.94–51.52 36.27–53.19 | 55.95 49.16–62.73 47.49–64.40 | — | 24% 73% |
| Passes | 411 344–478 325–496 | 516 450–583 432–600 | 927 793–1061 758–1096 | 19% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.46 64.43–72.49 63.14–73.78 | 73.49 69.16–77.81 67.86–79.12 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 11.43 8.59–14.26 7.83–15.02 | 10.47 7.52–13.41 6.77–14.16 | 21.89 16.11–27.67 14.61–29.18 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 2.29 1.20–3.38 0.91–3.67 | 3.80 1.54–6.05 0.96–6.64 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.76 1.59–5.94 1.03–6.50 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 2.94 1.38–4.49 0.96–4.92 | 5.86 2.87–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.