Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.843.13safe0.32–2.260.98–2.691.31–4.95safer0.07–2.510.76–2.920.83–5.43
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.115.329.43safe2.24–5.973.58–7.065.82–13.03safer1.75–6.463.11–7.534.87–13.99
Total shots
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5714.7626.34safe7.65–15.5011.20–18.3318.85–33.82safer6.56–16.5910.24–19.2916.80–35.87
Shots in box
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction8.3410.3418.68safe5.40–11.287.66–13.0213.06–24.31safer4.57–12.116.93–13.7611.49–25.87
Blocked shots
31%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.624.558.17safe1.74–5.512.90–6.204.64–11.71safer1.20–6.052.40–6.703.60–12.74
Corners
44%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.754.749.49safe2.54–6.962.74–6.745.28–13.70safer1.96–7.542.21–7.284.17–14.81
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.8255.32safe38.03–51.6148.53–62.10safer36.36–53.2846.86–63.77
Passes
23%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction446533978safe378–513466–599845–1112safer360–531449–617809–1148
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction70.1280.58safe66.09–74.1576.25–84.90safer64.79–75.4474.94–86.21
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4711.7922.26safe7.64–13.318.84–14.7316.48–28.04safer6.88–14.078.09–15.4814.97–29.55
Offsides
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.233.99safe0.60–2.921.14–3.321.73–6.24safer0.30–3.220.85–3.611.15–6.83
Yellow cards
35%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.843.50safe0.62–2.720.71–2.971.33–5.68safer0.35–2.980.42–3.260.77–6.24
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.736.10safe1.93–4.801.17–4.293.10–9.09safer1.54–5.190.75–4.712.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.84 0.98–2.69 0.76–2.92 | 3.13 1.31–4.95 0.83–5.43 | 27% 23% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.11 2.24–5.97 1.75–6.46 | 5.32 3.58–7.06 3.11–7.53 | 9.43 5.82–13.03 4.87–13.99 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 11.57 7.65–15.50 6.56–16.59 | 14.76 11.20–18.33 10.24–19.29 | 26.34 18.85–33.82 16.80–35.87 | 24% 70% |
| Shots in box | 8.34 5.40–11.28 4.57–12.11 | 10.34 7.66–13.02 6.93–13.76 | 18.68 13.06–24.31 11.49–25.87 | 28% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.51 1.20–6.05 | 4.55 2.90–6.20 2.40–6.70 | 8.17 4.64–11.71 3.60–12.74 | 31% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.75 2.54–6.96 1.96–7.54 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.21–7.28 | 9.49 5.28–13.70 4.17–14.81 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Possession % | 44.82 38.03–51.61 36.36–53.28 | 55.32 48.53–62.10 46.86–63.77 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 446 378–513 360–531 | 533 466–599 449–617 | 978 845–1112 809–1148 | 23% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.12 66.09–74.15 64.79–75.44 | 80.58 76.25–84.90 74.94–86.21 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.47 7.64–13.31 6.88–14.07 | 11.79 8.84–14.73 8.09–15.48 | 22.26 16.48–28.04 14.97–29.55 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 2.23 1.14–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 3.99 1.73–6.24 1.15–6.83 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.50 1.33–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 35% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 2.73 1.17–4.29 0.75–4.71 | 6.10 3.10–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.