Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
26%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.462.59safe0.16–2.100.60–2.310.77–4.41safer0.00–2.350.37–2.540.29–4.89
Shots on target
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.575.218.78safe1.70–5.433.47–6.955.17–12.38safer1.21–5.923.00–7.424.22–13.34
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6115.3825.99safe6.69–14.5411.82–18.9418.50–33.48safer5.60–15.6310.86–19.9016.45–35.53
Shots in box
24%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction7.409.7717.17safe4.46–10.347.09–12.4511.55–22.79safer3.63–11.176.35–13.199.98–24.36
Blocked shots
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.004.217.21safe1.12–4.882.56–5.873.68–10.75safer0.57–5.432.07–6.362.64–11.78
Corners
28%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.315.689.99safe2.10–6.523.68–7.685.78–14.20safer1.52–7.103.15–8.224.67–15.31
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction36.3764.85safe29.58–43.1658.07–71.64safer27.91–44.8356.40–73.31
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction321567889safe254–389501–634755–1023safer236–407483–651719–1058
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction62.4677.45safe58.43–66.4973.13–81.78safer57.14–67.7871.82–83.09
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5710.1920.76safe7.73–13.417.25–13.1414.98–26.54safer6.98–14.176.50–13.8813.48–28.05
Offsides
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.222.074.29safe1.06–3.380.97–3.162.03–6.54safer0.76–3.680.69–3.451.44–7.13
Yellow cards
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.773.82safe0.99–3.090.65–2.901.64–5.99safer0.73–3.360.35–3.191.08–6.55
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
57%
16%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.382.445.82safe1.94–4.810.88–4.002.83–8.81safer1.55–5.200.46–4.422.02–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.16–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.46 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 29% 26% 45% |
| Shots on target | 3.57 1.70–5.43 1.21–5.92 | 5.21 3.47–6.95 3.00–7.42 | 8.78 5.17–12.38 4.22–13.34 | 23% 65% |
| Total shots | 10.61 6.69–14.54 5.60–15.63 | 15.38 11.82–18.94 10.86–19.90 | 25.99 18.50–33.48 16.45–35.53 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 7.40 4.46–10.34 3.63–11.17 | 9.77 7.09–12.45 6.35–13.19 | 17.17 11.55–22.79 9.98–24.36 | 24% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.00 1.12–4.88 0.57–5.43 | 4.21 2.56–5.87 2.07–6.36 | 7.21 3.68–10.75 2.64–11.78 | 26% 14% 60% |
| Corners | 4.31 2.10–6.52 1.52–7.10 | 5.68 3.68–7.68 3.15–8.22 | 9.99 5.78–14.20 4.67–15.31 | 28% 61% |
| Possession % | 36.37 29.58–43.16 27.91–44.83 | 64.85 58.07–71.64 56.40–73.31 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 321 254–389 236–407 | 567 501–634 483–651 | 889 755–1023 719–1058 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.46 58.43–66.49 57.14–67.78 | 77.45 73.13–81.78 71.82–83.09 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.57 7.73–13.41 6.98–14.17 | 10.19 7.25–13.14 6.50–13.88 | 20.76 14.98–26.54 13.48–28.05 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.22 1.06–3.38 0.76–3.68 | 2.07 0.97–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 4.29 2.03–6.54 1.44–7.13 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.73–3.36 | 1.77 0.65–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.82 1.64–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.94–4.81 1.55–5.20 | 2.44 0.88–4.00 0.46–4.42 | 5.82 2.83–8.81 2.02–9.62 | 57% 16% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.