Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.422.74safe0.35–2.290.56–2.270.91–4.56safer0.10–2.540.34–2.500.43–5.04
Shots on target
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.599.06safe2.61–6.332.85–6.335.45–12.66safer2.12–6.822.38–6.804.50–13.62
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3112.5725.88safe9.38–17.239.01–16.1318.39–33.37safer8.29–18.328.05–17.0916.34–35.42
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.919.3318.24safe5.97–11.856.65–12.0112.62–23.86safer5.14–12.685.91–12.7511.05–25.43
Blocked shots
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.044.128.16safe2.16–5.922.47–5.784.63–11.70safer1.61–6.461.98–6.273.59–12.73
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.275.1110.38safe3.05–7.483.11–7.116.16–14.59safer2.48–8.052.58–7.645.06–15.70
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.2950.04safe43.50–57.0843.26–56.83safer41.83–58.7541.59–58.50
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction439415854safe371–506349–482720–988safer353–524331–499685–1023
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction68.7870.94safe64.76–72.8166.62–75.27safer63.46–74.1165.31–76.58
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7712.2423.02safe7.94–13.619.30–15.1917.23–28.80safer7.18–14.378.55–15.9315.73–30.30
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.703.58safe0.72–3.040.61–2.801.33–5.84safer0.42–3.340.32–3.080.74–6.43
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.993.74safe0.70–2.800.86–3.121.56–5.92safer0.44–3.070.57–3.411.01–6.48
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.093.156.23safe1.65–4.521.59–4.703.24–9.23safer1.26–4.911.17–5.132.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.42 0.56–2.27 0.34–2.50 | 2.74 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 35% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.33 2.12–6.82 | 4.59 2.85–6.33 2.38–6.80 | 9.06 5.45–12.66 4.50–13.62 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Total shots | 13.31 9.38–17.23 8.29–18.32 | 12.57 9.01–16.13 8.05–17.09 | 25.88 18.39–33.37 16.34–35.42 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 8.91 5.97–11.85 5.14–12.68 | 9.33 6.65–12.01 5.91–12.75 | 18.24 12.62–23.86 11.05–25.43 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.92 1.61–6.46 | 4.12 2.47–5.78 1.98–6.27 | 8.16 4.63–11.70 3.59–12.73 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 5.27 3.05–7.48 2.48–8.05 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.58–7.64 | 10.38 6.16–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 50.29 43.50–57.08 41.83–58.75 | 50.04 43.26–56.83 41.59–58.50 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 439 371–506 353–524 | 415 349–482 331–499 | 854 720–988 685–1023 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.78 64.76–72.81 63.46–74.11 | 70.94 66.62–75.27 65.31–76.58 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 10.77 7.94–13.61 7.18–14.37 | 12.24 9.30–15.19 8.55–15.93 | 23.02 17.23–28.80 15.73–30.30 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.08 | 3.58 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.43 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 3.15 1.59–4.70 1.17–5.13 | 6.23 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.