Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.242.63safe0.42–2.360.38–2.090.80–4.45safer0.17–2.610.15–2.320.32–4.93
Shots on target
51%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.734.188.92safe2.87–6.592.44–5.935.31–12.52safer2.38–7.081.98–6.394.35–13.48
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2411.6525.89safe10.32–18.168.09–15.2218.41–33.38safer9.22–19.267.13–16.1816.36–35.43
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction9.328.6017.92safe6.38–12.265.92–11.2812.30–23.54safer5.55–13.095.18–12.0210.73–25.11
Blocked shots
50%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.253.717.96safe2.37–6.132.06–5.364.42–11.50safer1.83–6.681.56–5.853.39–12.53
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.905.0710.96safe3.69–8.113.07–7.076.75–15.18safer3.11–8.692.53–7.605.64–16.29
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.7650.29safe42.97–56.5543.51–57.08safer41.30–58.2241.84–58.75
Passes
55%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction443427870safe376–510360–493736–1004safer358–528343–511700–1039
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction67.9970.24safe63.96–72.0265.91–74.56safer62.67–73.3164.60–75.87
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3211.8022.12safe7.48–13.158.85–14.7416.34–27.90safer6.72–13.918.11–15.4914.83–29.40
Offsides
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.224.10safe0.71–3.031.13–3.321.84–6.35safer0.41–3.340.84–3.601.25–6.94
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.993.43safe0.39–2.490.86–3.121.26–5.61safer0.13–2.760.57–3.410.70–6.17
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.11safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.743.075.82safe1.31–4.181.51–4.632.82–8.81safer0.92–4.571.09–5.052.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.63 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 40% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.73 2.87–6.59 2.38–7.08 | 4.18 2.44–5.93 1.98–6.39 | 8.92 5.31–12.52 4.35–13.48 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 14.24 10.32–18.16 9.22–19.26 | 11.65 8.09–15.22 7.13–16.18 | 25.89 18.41–33.38 16.36–35.43 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.32 6.38–12.26 5.55–13.09 | 8.60 5.92–11.28 5.18–12.02 | 17.92 12.30–23.54 10.73–25.11 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 4.25 2.37–6.13 1.83–6.68 | 3.71 2.06–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 7.96 4.42–11.50 3.39–12.53 | 50% 14% 35% |
| Corners | 5.90 3.69–8.11 3.11–8.69 | 5.07 3.07–7.07 2.53–7.60 | 10.96 6.75–15.18 5.64–16.29 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 49.76 42.97–56.55 41.30–58.22 | 50.29 43.51–57.08 41.84–58.75 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 443 376–510 358–528 | 427 360–493 343–511 | 870 736–1004 700–1039 | 55% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.99 63.96–72.02 62.67–73.31 | 70.24 65.91–74.56 64.60–75.87 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 10.32 7.48–13.15 6.72–13.91 | 11.80 8.85–14.74 8.11–15.49 | 22.12 16.34–27.90 14.83–29.40 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.34 | 2.22 1.13–3.32 0.84–3.60 | 4.10 1.84–6.35 1.25–6.94 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.43 1.26–5.61 0.70–6.17 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.31–4.18 0.92–4.57 | 3.07 1.51–4.63 1.09–5.05 | 5.82 2.82–8.81 2.01–9.62 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.