Premier League·Regular Season - 18·
Premier League·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
20%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction0.952.073.03safe0.00–1.921.22–2.931.21–4.85safer0.00–2.170.99–3.160.73–5.33
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.326.469.78safe1.46–5.184.72–8.206.17–13.38safer0.97–5.674.25–8.675.22–14.34
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5017.0427.54safe6.57–14.4213.48–20.6020.05–35.02safer5.48–15.5112.52–21.5618.00–37.07
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0111.6318.63safe4.06–9.958.95–14.3113.01–24.26safer3.23–10.788.21–15.0511.44–25.82
Blocked shots
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.085.268.34safe1.20–4.973.61–6.914.81–11.88safer0.66–5.513.12–7.413.77–12.92
Corners
18%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction4.016.4610.46safe1.79–6.224.46–8.466.25–14.68safer1.22–6.793.92–8.995.14–15.78
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction30.4069.78safe23.61–37.1963.00–76.57safer21.94–38.8661.33–78.24
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction304677981safe236–371611–744847–1114safer218–389593–761811–1150
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction62.7585.55safe58.72–66.7881.22–89.87safer57.43–68.0779.92–91.18
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8510.5721.41safe8.01–13.687.62–13.5115.63–27.20safer7.25–14.446.87–14.2614.13–28.70
Offsides
67%
17%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.641.263.90safe1.48–3.800.17–2.361.65–6.16safer1.18–4.100.00–2.651.06–6.75
Yellow cards
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.563.44safe0.83–2.930.43–2.691.27–5.62safer0.57–3.200.14–2.980.71–6.18
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
68%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.022.326.34safe2.58–5.460.77–3.883.35–9.33safer2.20–5.840.34–4.302.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 2.07 1.22–2.93 0.99–3.16 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 16% 20% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.32 1.46–5.18 0.97–5.67 | 6.46 4.72–8.20 4.25–8.67 | 9.78 6.17–13.38 5.22–14.34 | 80% |
| Total shots | 10.50 6.57–14.42 5.48–15.51 | 17.04 13.48–20.60 12.52–21.56 | 27.54 20.05–35.02 18.00–37.07 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 7.01 4.06–9.95 3.23–10.78 | 11.63 8.95–14.31 8.21–15.05 | 18.63 13.01–24.26 11.44–25.82 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 3.08 1.20–4.97 0.66–5.51 | 5.26 3.61–6.91 3.12–7.41 | 8.34 4.81–11.88 3.77–12.92 | 17% 72% |
| Corners | 4.01 1.79–6.22 1.22–6.79 | 6.46 4.46–8.46 3.92–8.99 | 10.46 6.25–14.68 5.14–15.78 | 18% 73% |
| Possession % | 30.40 23.61–37.19 21.94–38.86 | 69.78 63.00–76.57 61.33–78.24 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 304 236–371 218–389 | 677 611–744 593–761 | 981 847–1114 811–1150 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.75 58.72–66.78 57.43–68.07 | 85.55 81.22–89.87 79.92–91.18 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 10.85 8.01–13.68 7.25–14.44 | 10.57 7.62–13.51 6.87–14.26 | 21.41 15.63–27.20 14.13–28.70 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.64 1.48–3.80 1.18–4.10 | 1.26 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 3.90 1.65–6.16 1.06–6.75 | 67% 17% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.57–3.20 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 3.44 1.27–5.62 0.71–6.18 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.02 2.58–5.46 2.20–5.84 | 2.32 0.77–3.88 0.34–4.30 | 6.34 3.35–9.33 2.54–10.15 | 68% 13% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.