Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
22%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction0.961.932.88safe0.00–1.921.07–2.781.06–4.70safer0.00–2.180.84–3.010.58–5.18
Shots on target
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.465.919.37safe1.60–5.334.16–7.655.76–12.97safer1.11–5.823.70–8.114.81–13.93
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5415.2425.78safe6.61–14.4611.68–18.8018.29–33.27safer5.52–15.5510.72–19.7616.24–35.32
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5210.8117.32safe3.58–9.468.13–13.4911.70–22.95safer2.75–10.297.39–14.2210.13–24.51
Blocked shots
29%
13%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.544.608.14safe1.66–5.422.95–6.254.61–11.68safer1.11–5.972.46–6.753.57–12.71
Corners
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.315.009.31safe2.10–6.523.00–7.005.10–13.53safer1.52–7.102.47–7.543.99–14.63
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction47.1353.75safe40.34–53.9246.96–60.53safer38.67–55.5945.29–62.20
Passes
33%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction461512973safe394–528445–578839–1107safer376–547428–596804–1142
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction71.4679.61safe67.43–75.4975.29–83.93safer66.14–76.7873.98–85.24
Fouls
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5410.6323.17safe9.70–15.377.69–13.5817.39–28.95safer8.94–16.136.94–14.3315.88–30.46
Offsides
21%
20%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.292.253.54safe0.13–2.451.16–3.341.28–5.79safer0.00–2.750.87–3.630.69–6.38
Yellow cards
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.643.66safe0.97–3.070.51–2.771.48–5.83safer0.70–3.330.22–3.060.92–6.39
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.060.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.250.00–0.50safer0.00–0.400.00–0.380.00–0.79
GK saves
58%
16%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.475.93safe2.03–4.900.91–4.022.94–8.92safer1.64–5.290.49–4.452.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.18 | 1.93 1.07–2.78 0.84–3.01 | 2.88 1.06–4.70 0.58–5.18 | 18% 22% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.46 1.60–5.33 1.11–5.82 | 5.91 4.16–7.65 3.70–8.11 | 9.37 5.76–12.97 4.81–13.93 | 17% 74% |
| Total shots | 10.54 6.61–14.46 5.52–15.55 | 15.24 11.68–18.80 10.72–19.76 | 25.78 18.29–33.27 16.24–35.32 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 6.52 3.58–9.46 2.75–10.29 | 10.81 8.13–13.49 7.39–14.22 | 17.32 11.70–22.95 10.13–24.51 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.54 1.66–5.42 1.11–5.97 | 4.60 2.95–6.25 2.46–6.75 | 8.14 4.61–11.68 3.57–12.71 | 29% 13% 58% |
| Corners | 4.31 2.10–6.52 1.52–7.10 | 5.00 3.00–7.00 2.47–7.54 | 9.31 5.10–13.53 3.99–14.63 | 35% 52% |
| Possession % | 47.13 40.34–53.92 38.67–55.59 | 53.75 46.96–60.53 45.29–62.20 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 461 394–528 376–547 | 512 445–578 428–596 | 973 839–1107 804–1142 | 33% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.46 67.43–75.49 66.14–76.78 | 79.61 75.29–83.93 73.98–85.24 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 12.54 9.70–15.37 8.94–16.13 | 10.63 7.69–13.58 6.94–14.33 | 23.17 17.39–28.95 15.88–30.46 | 61% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.29 0.13–2.45 0.00–2.75 | 2.25 1.16–3.34 0.87–3.63 | 3.54 1.28–5.79 0.69–6.38 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 1.64 0.51–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 3.66 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.46 2.03–4.90 1.64–5.29 | 2.47 0.91–4.02 0.49–4.45 | 5.93 2.94–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 58% 16% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.