Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
25%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.582.81safe0.26–2.190.73–2.440.98–4.63safer0.00–2.440.50–2.660.50–5.11
Shots on target
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.345.059.40safe2.48–6.203.31–6.805.79–13.00safer1.99–6.692.85–7.264.83–13.96
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2513.9427.18safe9.32–17.1710.37–17.5019.70–34.67safer8.23–18.269.41–18.4617.65–36.72
Shots in box
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.669.2817.95safe5.72–11.616.60–11.9612.32–23.57safer4.89–12.445.87–12.7010.76–25.14
Blocked shots
36%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.024.588.60safe2.13–5.902.93–6.245.06–12.14safer1.59–6.442.44–6.734.03–13.17
Corners
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.125.2010.33safe2.91–7.343.20–7.206.11–14.54safer2.33–7.912.67–7.745.01–15.65
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction46.0853.91safe39.29–52.8747.13–60.70safer37.62–54.5445.45–62.37
Passes
29%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction433497930safe365–500431–564796–1064safer347–518414–581761–1100
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction70.2974.09safe66.26–74.3269.77–78.42safer64.97–75.6168.46–79.73
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1510.5522.70safe9.31–14.997.60–13.4916.91–28.48safer8.55–15.746.85–14.2415.41–29.98
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.763.31safe0.39–2.710.67–2.861.06–5.57safer0.09–3.010.38–3.150.47–6.15
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.062.144.20safe1.01–3.111.01–3.272.02–6.38safer0.74–3.370.72–3.561.46–6.94
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.312.976.29safe1.88–4.751.42–4.533.29–9.28safer1.49–5.140.99–4.952.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.26–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.58 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.66 | 2.81 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 30% 25% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.34 2.48–6.20 1.99–6.69 | 5.05 3.31–6.80 2.85–7.26 | 9.40 5.79–13.00 4.83–13.96 | 35% 53% |
| Total shots | 13.25 9.32–17.17 8.23–18.26 | 13.94 10.37–17.50 9.41–18.46 | 27.18 19.70–34.67 17.65–36.72 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 8.66 5.72–11.61 4.89–12.44 | 9.28 6.60–11.96 5.87–12.70 | 17.95 12.32–23.57 10.76–25.14 | 40% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.13–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 4.58 2.93–6.24 2.44–6.73 | 8.60 5.06–12.14 4.03–13.17 | 36% 14% 51% |
| Corners | 5.12 2.91–7.34 2.33–7.91 | 5.20 3.20–7.20 2.67–7.74 | 10.33 6.11–14.54 5.01–15.65 | 43% 45% |
| Possession % | 46.08 39.29–52.87 37.62–54.54 | 53.91 47.13–60.70 45.45–62.37 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 433 365–500 347–518 | 497 431–564 414–581 | 930 796–1064 761–1100 | 29% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.29 66.26–74.32 64.97–75.61 | 74.09 69.77–78.42 68.46–79.73 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 12.15 9.31–14.99 8.55–15.74 | 10.55 7.60–13.49 6.85–14.24 | 22.70 16.91–28.48 15.41–29.98 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.76 0.67–2.86 0.38–3.15 | 3.31 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.15 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.74–3.37 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 4.20 2.02–6.38 1.46–6.94 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.31 1.88–4.75 1.49–5.14 | 2.97 1.42–4.53 0.99–4.95 | 6.29 3.29–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.