Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.913.28safe0.40–2.341.05–2.761.45–5.10safer0.15–2.590.82–2.990.97–5.58
Shots on target
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.655.199.84safe2.79–6.513.45–6.946.24–13.45safer2.30–7.002.98–7.405.28–14.40
Total shots
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2814.1727.45safe9.36–17.2110.61–17.7319.97–34.94safer8.27–18.309.65–18.6917.92–36.99
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5810.2919.88safe6.64–12.527.61–12.9714.25–25.50safer5.81–13.356.88–13.7112.69–27.07
Blocked shots
43%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.013.987.98safe2.12–5.892.32–5.634.45–11.52safer1.58–6.431.83–6.123.41–12.55
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.709.93safe3.02–7.452.70–6.705.72–14.15safer2.45–8.022.17–7.234.61–15.26
Possession %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction46.9753.23safe40.18–53.7646.44–60.01safer38.51–55.4344.77–61.68
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction426472898safe358–493406–539764–1031safer340–511388–556728–1067
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction73.1078.63safe69.07–77.1374.30–82.95safer67.78–78.4272.99–84.26
Fouls
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1412.8323.97safe8.31–13.989.88–15.7718.19–29.75safer7.55–14.749.13–16.5216.69–31.26
Offsides
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.943.95safe0.86–3.180.84–3.031.70–6.21safer0.55–3.480.56–3.321.11–6.80
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.334.15safe0.77–2.871.20–3.461.97–6.33safer0.50–3.130.91–3.751.41–6.89
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.453.186.63safe2.02–4.891.62–4.743.64–9.62safer1.63–5.281.20–5.162.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.91 1.05–2.76 0.82–2.99 | 3.28 1.45–5.10 0.97–5.58 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.65 2.79–6.51 2.30–7.00 | 5.19 3.45–6.94 2.98–7.40 | 9.84 6.24–13.45 5.28–14.40 | 37% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.28 9.36–17.21 8.27–18.30 | 14.17 10.61–17.73 9.65–18.69 | 27.45 19.97–34.94 17.92–36.99 | 40% 53% |
| Shots in box | 9.58 6.64–12.52 5.81–13.35 | 10.29 7.61–12.97 6.88–13.71 | 19.88 14.25–25.50 12.69–27.07 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.12–5.89 1.58–6.43 | 3.98 2.32–5.63 1.83–6.12 | 7.98 4.45–11.52 3.41–12.55 | 43% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 4.70 2.70–6.70 2.17–7.23 | 9.93 5.72–14.15 4.61–15.26 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 46.97 40.18–53.76 38.51–55.43 | 53.23 46.44–60.01 44.77–61.68 | — | 33% 62% |
| Passes | 426 358–493 340–511 | 472 406–539 388–556 | 898 764–1031 728–1067 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.10 69.07–77.13 67.78–78.42 | 78.63 74.30–82.95 72.99–84.26 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 11.14 8.31–13.98 7.55–14.74 | 12.83 9.88–15.77 9.13–16.52 | 23.97 18.19–29.75 16.69–31.26 | 33% 60% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.55–3.48 | 1.94 0.84–3.03 0.56–3.32 | 3.95 1.70–6.21 1.11–6.80 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.15 1.97–6.33 1.41–6.89 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.45 2.02–4.89 1.63–5.28 | 3.18 1.62–4.74 1.20–5.16 | 6.63 3.64–9.62 2.83–10.44 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.