Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.250.712.96safe1.28–3.220.00–1.561.14–4.78safer1.03–3.470.00–1.790.66–5.26
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.773.159.92safe4.91–8.641.41–4.896.32–13.53safer4.42–9.130.94–5.365.36–14.48
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.568.8128.37safe15.63–23.485.25–12.3820.88–35.86safer14.54–24.574.29–13.3418.83–37.91
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction13.295.7419.04safe10.35–16.243.06–8.4213.41–24.66safer9.52–17.062.33–9.1611.85–26.23
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.472.718.18safe3.59–7.351.06–4.364.64–11.71safer3.04–7.890.56–4.863.61–12.75
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.413.0410.45safe5.20–9.621.04–5.046.23–14.66safer4.62–10.200.51–5.575.13–15.77
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction59.9940.31safe53.20–66.7833.53–47.10safer51.53–68.4531.86–48.77
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction558372930safe491–625305–438796–1063safer473–643288–456760–1099
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction78.7471.82safe74.71–82.7767.50–76.15safer73.42–84.0666.19–77.46
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8812.3722.24safe7.04–12.719.42–15.3116.46–28.02safer6.28–13.478.67–16.0614.96–29.53
Offsides
54%
22%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.173.06safe0.73–3.050.08–2.260.81–5.31safer0.43–3.350.00–2.550.22–5.90
Yellow cards
20%
20%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.192.223.40safe0.14–2.241.09–3.341.23–5.58safer0.00–2.500.80–3.640.67–6.14
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.364.316.66safe0.92–3.792.75–5.863.67–9.66safer0.53–4.182.33–6.292.86–10.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.25 1.28–3.22 1.03–3.47 | 0.71 0.00–1.56 0.00–1.79 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.77 4.91–8.64 4.42–9.13 | 3.15 1.41–4.89 0.94–5.36 | 9.92 6.32–13.53 5.36–14.48 | 84% |
| Total shots | 19.56 15.63–23.48 14.54–24.57 | 8.81 5.25–12.38 4.29–13.34 | 28.37 20.88–35.86 18.83–37.91 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.29 10.35–16.24 9.52–17.06 | 5.74 3.06–8.42 2.33–9.16 | 19.04 13.41–24.66 11.85–26.23 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.47 3.59–7.35 3.04–7.89 | 2.71 1.06–4.36 0.56–4.86 | 8.18 4.64–11.71 3.61–12.75 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.41 5.20–9.62 4.62–10.20 | 3.04 1.04–5.04 0.51–5.57 | 10.45 6.23–14.66 5.13–15.77 | 89% |
| Possession % | 59.99 53.20–66.78 51.53–68.45 | 40.31 33.53–47.10 31.86–48.77 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 558 491–625 473–643 | 372 305–438 288–456 | 930 796–1063 760–1099 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.74 74.71–82.77 73.42–84.06 | 71.82 67.50–76.15 66.19–77.46 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 9.88 7.04–12.71 6.28–13.47 | 12.37 9.42–15.31 8.67–16.06 | 22.24 16.46–28.02 14.96–29.53 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.17 0.08–2.26 0.00–2.55 | 3.06 0.81–5.31 0.22–5.90 | 54% 22% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.19 0.14–2.24 0.00–2.50 | 2.22 1.09–3.34 0.80–3.64 | 3.40 1.23–5.58 0.67–6.14 | 20% 20% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 4.31 2.75–5.86 2.33–6.29 | 6.66 3.67–9.66 2.86–10.47 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.