Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.043.00safe0.99–2.930.18–1.891.17–4.82safer0.74–3.180.00–2.120.69–5.30
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.114.0510.16safe4.25–7.972.30–5.796.55–13.76safer3.76–8.461.84–6.255.59–14.72
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction16.8711.2028.08safe12.95–20.807.64–14.7720.59–35.56safer11.86–21.896.68–15.7218.54–37.61
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction11.807.6519.45safe8.86–14.754.97–10.3313.83–25.08safer8.03–15.584.23–11.0712.26–26.64
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.303.008.31safe3.42–7.181.35–4.664.77–11.84safer2.88–7.730.86–5.153.73–12.88
Corners
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction7.084.2111.29safe4.87–9.302.21–6.217.08–15.51safer4.30–9.871.68–6.745.97–16.62
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.4245.07safe47.63–61.2138.28–51.85safer45.96–62.8836.61–53.52
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction508412920safe441–575345–478786–1053safer423–593328–495750–1089
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction75.2674.66safe71.23–79.2970.33–78.98safer69.94–80.5869.03–80.29
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8211.7922.61safe7.98–13.668.84–14.7316.82–28.39safer7.23–14.418.09–15.4815.32–29.89
Offsides
40%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.543.18safe0.48–2.800.45–2.640.93–5.44safer0.18–3.100.16–2.920.34–6.03
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.194.08safe0.84–2.941.07–3.321.91–6.26safer0.57–3.200.77–3.621.35–6.82
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
26%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.663.796.44safe1.22–4.092.23–5.353.45–9.44safer0.83–4.481.81–5.772.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 0.99–2.93 0.74–3.18 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 3.00 1.17–4.82 0.69–5.30 | 59% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.11 4.25–7.97 3.76–8.46 | 4.05 2.30–5.79 1.84–6.25 | 10.16 6.55–13.76 5.59–14.72 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 16.87 12.95–20.80 11.86–21.89 | 11.20 7.64–14.77 6.68–15.72 | 28.08 20.59–35.56 18.54–37.61 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 11.80 8.86–14.75 8.03–15.58 | 7.65 4.97–10.33 4.23–11.07 | 19.45 13.83–25.08 12.26–26.64 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 5.30 3.42–7.18 2.88–7.73 | 3.00 1.35–4.66 0.86–5.15 | 8.31 4.77–11.84 3.73–12.88 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 7.08 4.87–9.30 4.30–9.87 | 4.21 2.21–6.21 1.68–6.74 | 11.29 7.08–15.51 5.97–16.62 | 76% 16% |
| Possession % | 54.42 47.63–61.21 45.96–62.88 | 45.07 38.28–51.85 36.61–53.52 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 508 441–575 423–593 | 412 345–478 328–495 | 920 786–1053 750–1089 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.26 71.23–79.29 69.94–80.58 | 74.66 70.33–78.98 69.03–80.29 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.98–13.66 7.23–14.41 | 11.79 8.84–14.73 8.09–15.48 | 22.61 16.82–28.39 15.32–29.89 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.54 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.92 | 3.18 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 40% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.20 | 2.19 1.07–3.32 0.77–3.62 | 4.08 1.91–6.26 1.35–6.82 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 3.79 2.23–5.35 1.81–5.77 | 6.44 3.45–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 26% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.