Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.082.41safe0.35–2.290.23–1.940.58–4.23safer0.10–2.540.00–2.170.10–4.71
Shots on target
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.463.938.40safe2.60–6.322.19–5.684.79–12.00safer2.11–6.811.73–6.143.83–12.96
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6611.8326.49safe10.73–18.588.26–15.3919.00–33.97safer9.64–19.677.31–16.3516.95–36.02
Shots in box
54%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction9.338.3717.69safe6.39–12.275.68–11.0512.07–23.32safer5.56–13.104.95–11.7810.50–24.88
Blocked shots
56%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.423.517.94safe2.54–6.301.86–5.174.40–11.47safer2.00–6.851.37–5.663.36–12.51
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.864.8510.71safe3.65–8.072.85–6.856.49–14.92safer3.07–8.652.31–7.385.39–16.03
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction52.8146.68safe46.02–59.6039.90–53.47safer44.35–61.2738.22–55.14
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction464396860safe397–532329–462726–994safer379–550312–480691–1029
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction69.5568.15safe65.52–73.5863.83–72.47safer64.23–74.8862.52–73.78
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1511.7322.89safe8.32–13.998.79–14.6817.10–28.67safer7.56–14.758.04–15.4315.60–30.17
Offsides
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.903.27safe0.21–2.530.81–3.001.02–5.53safer0.00–2.830.52–3.290.43–6.12
Yellow cards
27%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.013.41safe0.35–2.450.89–3.141.23–5.59safer0.08–2.710.59–3.430.68–6.15
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
34%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.643.145.78safe1.20–4.071.58–4.702.79–8.77safer0.81–4.461.16–5.121.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 2.41 0.58–4.23 0.10–4.71 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.46 2.60–6.32 2.11–6.81 | 3.93 2.19–5.68 1.73–6.14 | 8.40 4.79–12.00 3.83–12.96 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 14.66 10.73–18.58 9.64–19.67 | 11.83 8.26–15.39 7.31–16.35 | 26.49 19.00–33.97 16.95–36.02 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.33 6.39–12.27 5.56–13.10 | 8.37 5.68–11.05 4.95–11.78 | 17.69 12.07–23.32 10.50–24.88 | 54% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.42 2.54–6.30 2.00–6.85 | 3.51 1.86–5.17 1.37–5.66 | 7.94 4.40–11.47 3.36–12.51 | 56% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.86 3.65–8.07 3.07–8.65 | 4.85 2.85–6.85 2.31–7.38 | 10.71 6.49–14.92 5.39–16.03 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 52.81 46.02–59.60 44.35–61.27 | 46.68 39.90–53.47 38.22–55.14 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 464 397–532 379–550 | 396 329–462 312–480 | 860 726–994 691–1029 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.55 65.52–73.58 64.23–74.88 | 68.15 63.83–72.47 62.52–73.78 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 11.15 8.32–13.99 7.56–14.75 | 11.73 8.79–14.68 8.04–15.43 | 22.89 17.10–28.67 15.60–30.17 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.90 0.81–3.00 0.52–3.29 | 3.27 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.08–2.71 | 2.01 0.89–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 27% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.14 1.58–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 5.78 2.79–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 34% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+