Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.620.972.58safe0.65–2.580.11–1.820.76–4.41safer0.40–2.840.00–2.050.28–4.89
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.543.408.94safe3.68–7.401.66–5.145.34–12.55safer3.19–7.891.19–5.614.38–13.50
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction17.139.5626.70safe13.21–21.066.00–13.1319.21–34.18safer12.11–22.155.04–14.0917.16–36.23
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.056.6517.70safe8.11–13.993.97–9.3312.07–23.32safer7.28–14.823.23–10.0710.51–24.89
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.122.857.97safe3.24–7.001.20–4.504.44–11.51safer2.70–7.550.71–5.003.40–12.54
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.413.8210.23safe4.20–8.621.82–5.826.02–14.45safer3.62–9.201.29–6.364.91–15.55
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction58.8840.97safe52.09–65.6734.19–47.76safer50.42–67.3432.52–49.43
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction526353878safe458–593286–419745–1012safer440–611269–437709–1048
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction74.6368.16safe70.60–78.6663.83–72.48safer69.31–79.9562.52–73.79
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9810.4521.44safe8.15–13.827.51–13.4015.65–27.22safer7.39–14.586.76–14.1514.15–28.72
Offsides
36%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.414.57safe1.00–3.321.32–3.502.32–6.82safer0.70–3.621.03–3.791.73–7.41
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.823.27safe0.40–2.500.69–2.951.09–5.45safer0.13–2.760.40–3.240.53–6.00
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.060.12safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.380.00–0.75
GK saves
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.676.05safe0.94–3.812.12–5.233.06–9.04safer0.55–4.201.69–5.652.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.58 0.40–2.84 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.58 0.76–4.41 0.28–4.89 | 53% 25% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.54 3.68–7.40 3.19–7.89 | 3.40 1.66–5.14 1.19–5.61 | 8.94 5.34–12.55 4.38–13.50 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.13 13.21–21.06 12.11–22.15 | 9.56 6.00–13.13 5.04–14.09 | 26.70 19.21–34.18 17.16–36.23 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.05 8.11–13.99 7.28–14.82 | 6.65 3.97–9.33 3.23–10.07 | 17.70 12.07–23.32 10.51–24.89 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 5.12 3.24–7.00 2.70–7.55 | 2.85 1.20–4.50 0.71–5.00 | 7.97 4.44–11.51 3.40–12.54 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 6.41 4.20–8.62 3.62–9.20 | 3.82 1.82–5.82 1.29–6.36 | 10.23 6.02–14.45 4.91–15.55 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 58.88 52.09–65.67 50.42–67.34 | 40.97 34.19–47.76 32.52–49.43 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 526 458–593 440–611 | 353 286–419 269–437 | 878 745–1012 709–1048 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.63 70.60–78.66 69.31–79.95 | 68.16 63.83–72.48 62.52–73.79 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.15–13.82 7.39–14.58 | 10.45 7.51–13.40 6.76–14.15 | 21.44 15.65–27.22 14.15–28.72 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.16 1.00–3.32 0.70–3.62 | 2.41 1.32–3.50 1.03–3.79 | 4.57 2.32–6.82 1.73–7.41 | 36% 19% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.13–2.76 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.27 1.09–5.45 0.53–6.00 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 3.67 2.12–5.23 1.69–5.65 | 6.05 3.06–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 23% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.