Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
20%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.040.832.87safe1.07–3.010.00–1.681.04–4.69safer0.82–3.260.00–1.910.56–5.17
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.199.11safe4.06–7.781.45–4.935.50–12.71safer3.57–8.270.98–5.404.55–13.67
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction16.858.9825.84safe12.93–20.785.42–12.5518.35–33.32safer11.84–21.874.46–13.5116.30–35.37
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.626.3417.95safe8.67–14.563.65–9.0212.33–23.57safer7.84–15.392.92–9.7510.76–25.14
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.283.108.38safe3.40–7.171.44–4.754.85–11.92safer2.86–7.710.95–5.243.81–12.95
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.013.4710.48safe4.80–9.231.47–5.476.27–14.69safer4.22–9.800.93–6.005.16–15.80
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.6440.70safe52.85–66.4333.91–47.48safer51.18–68.1032.24–49.15
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction533354887safe466–600288–421753–1021safer448–618270–438718–1056
Pass accuracy %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction75.7169.59safe71.68–79.7465.26–73.91safer70.39–81.0463.95–75.22
Fouls
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6813.5723.25safe6.84–12.5210.63–16.5217.47–29.04safer6.08–13.279.88–17.2715.97–30.54
Offsides
61%
20%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.251.203.45safe1.09–3.410.10–2.291.20–5.70safer0.79–3.710.00–2.580.61–6.29
Yellow cards
21%
20%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.282.253.53safe0.23–2.331.12–3.381.35–5.71safer0.00–2.590.83–3.670.79–6.26
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.303.766.05safe0.86–3.732.20–5.313.06–9.05safer0.47–4.121.78–5.742.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.07–3.01 0.82–3.26 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 2.87 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 65% 20% 14% |
| Shots on target | 5.92 4.06–7.78 3.57–8.27 | 3.19 1.45–4.93 0.98–5.40 | 9.11 5.50–12.71 4.55–13.67 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.85 12.93–20.78 11.84–21.87 | 8.98 5.42–12.55 4.46–13.51 | 25.84 18.35–33.32 16.30–35.37 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.62 8.67–14.56 7.84–15.39 | 6.34 3.65–9.02 2.92–9.75 | 17.95 12.33–23.57 10.76–25.14 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 5.28 3.40–7.17 2.86–7.71 | 3.10 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 8.38 4.85–11.92 3.81–12.95 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 7.01 4.80–9.23 4.22–9.80 | 3.47 1.47–5.47 0.93–6.00 | 10.48 6.27–14.69 5.16–15.80 | 83% |
| Possession % | 59.64 52.85–66.43 51.18–68.10 | 40.70 33.91–47.48 32.24–49.15 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 533 466–600 448–618 | 354 288–421 270–438 | 887 753–1021 718–1056 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.71 71.68–79.74 70.39–81.04 | 69.59 65.26–73.91 63.95–75.22 | — | 77% 20% |
| Fouls | 9.68 6.84–12.52 6.08–13.27 | 13.57 10.63–16.52 9.88–17.27 | 23.25 17.47–29.04 15.97–30.54 | 18% 76% |
| Offsides | 2.25 1.09–3.41 0.79–3.71 | 1.20 0.10–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 3.45 1.20–5.70 0.61–6.29 | 61% 20% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.28 0.23–2.33 0.00–2.59 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 3.53 1.35–5.71 0.79–6.26 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 3.76 2.20–5.31 1.78–5.74 | 6.05 3.06–9.05 2.25–9.86 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.