Premier League·Regular Season - 20·
Premier League·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.122.78safe0.69–2.630.26–1.970.96–4.60safer0.44–2.880.03–2.200.48–5.08
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.213.939.14safe3.35–7.072.19–5.675.54–12.75safer2.86–7.561.72–6.144.58–13.70
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0310.4625.49safe11.11–18.966.90–14.0218.00–32.98safer10.02–20.055.94–14.9815.95–35.03
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.957.4017.35safe7.01–12.894.72–10.0911.73–22.98safer6.18–13.723.99–10.8210.16–24.54
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.042.896.94safe2.16–5.931.24–4.543.40–10.47safer1.62–6.470.75–5.042.36–11.51
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.044.0910.13safe3.82–8.252.09–6.095.91–14.34safer3.25–8.831.55–6.624.81–15.45
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.2939.49safe53.50–67.0832.71–46.28safer51.83–68.7531.04–47.95
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction526352878safe459–593286–419744–1012safer440–611268–436709–1047
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction76.1568.94safe72.12–80.1864.61–73.26safer70.83–81.4763.30–74.57
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1211.4723.60safe9.29–14.968.53–14.4217.81–29.38safer8.53–15.727.78–15.1616.31–30.88
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.843.44safe0.44–2.760.75–2.931.19–5.70safer0.14–3.070.46–3.220.60–6.29
Yellow cards
40%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.204.38safe1.13–3.221.07–3.332.20–6.56safer0.86–3.490.78–3.621.64–7.11
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.643.305.94safe1.21–4.081.74–4.852.95–8.93safer0.82–4.471.32–5.282.14–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 1.12 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.20 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.21 3.35–7.07 2.86–7.56 | 3.93 2.19–5.67 1.72–6.14 | 9.14 5.54–12.75 4.58–13.70 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 15.03 11.11–18.96 10.02–20.05 | 10.46 6.90–14.02 5.94–14.98 | 25.49 18.00–32.98 15.95–35.03 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.95 7.01–12.89 6.18–13.72 | 7.40 4.72–10.09 3.99–10.82 | 17.35 11.73–22.98 10.16–24.54 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 2.89 1.24–4.54 0.75–5.04 | 6.94 3.40–10.47 2.36–11.51 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 6.04 3.82–8.25 3.25–8.83 | 4.09 2.09–6.09 1.55–6.62 | 10.13 5.91–14.34 4.81–15.45 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 60.29 53.50–67.08 51.83–68.75 | 39.49 32.71–46.28 31.04–47.95 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 526 459–593 440–611 | 352 286–419 268–436 | 878 744–1012 709–1047 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.15 72.12–80.18 70.83–81.47 | 68.94 64.61–73.26 63.30–74.57 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 12.12 9.29–14.96 8.53–15.72 | 11.47 8.53–14.42 7.78–15.16 | 23.60 17.81–29.38 16.31–30.88 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.07 | 1.84 0.75–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.44 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.22 0.86–3.49 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 4.38 2.20–6.56 1.64–7.11 | 40% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 3.30 1.74–4.85 1.32–5.28 | 5.94 2.95–8.93 2.14–9.74 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+