Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.512.98safe0.50–2.440.66–2.361.15–4.80safer0.25–2.690.43–2.590.67–5.28
Shots on target
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.555.069.61safe2.69–6.423.32–6.806.01–13.22safer2.20–6.912.85–7.275.05–14.18
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9514.2028.16safe10.03–17.8810.64–17.7620.67–35.64safer8.94–18.979.68–18.7218.62–37.69
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2210.1219.34safe6.28–12.167.44–12.8013.72–24.96safer5.45–12.996.70–13.5412.15–26.53
Blocked shots
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.054.348.40safe2.17–5.932.69–6.004.86–11.93safer1.63–6.482.20–6.493.82–12.97
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.214.9510.16safe3.00–7.432.95–6.955.95–14.38safer2.42–8.002.42–7.484.84–15.48
Possession %
41%
55%
homeawayprediction49.1352.07safe42.34–55.9245.28–58.85safer40.67–57.5943.61–60.52
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction492498989safe424–559431–564856–1123safer406–577414–582820–1159
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction73.4179.76safe69.39–77.4475.44–84.08safer68.09–78.7474.13–85.39
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6911.3223.02safe8.86–14.538.38–14.2717.23–28.80safer8.10–15.297.63–15.0215.73–30.30
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.043.78safe0.57–2.890.95–3.131.52–6.03safer0.27–3.200.66–3.420.93–6.62
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.783.57safe0.74–2.830.65–2.911.39–5.75safer0.47–3.100.36–3.200.83–6.30
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.292.856.14safe1.86–4.731.29–4.403.15–9.13safer1.47–5.120.87–4.832.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.51 0.66–2.36 0.43–2.59 | 2.98 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.55 2.69–6.42 2.20–6.91 | 5.06 3.32–6.80 2.85–7.27 | 9.61 6.01–13.22 5.05–14.18 | 37% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.95 10.03–17.88 8.94–18.97 | 14.20 10.64–17.76 9.68–18.72 | 28.16 20.67–35.64 18.62–37.69 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 9.22 6.28–12.16 5.45–12.99 | 10.12 7.44–12.80 6.70–13.54 | 19.34 13.72–24.96 12.15–26.53 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.17–5.93 1.63–6.48 | 4.34 2.69–6.00 2.20–6.49 | 8.40 4.86–11.93 3.82–12.97 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Corners | 5.21 3.00–7.43 2.42–8.00 | 4.95 2.95–6.95 2.42–7.48 | 10.16 5.95–14.38 4.84–15.48 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 49.13 42.34–55.92 40.67–57.59 | 52.07 45.28–58.85 43.61–60.52 | — | 41% 55% |
| Passes | 492 424–559 406–577 | 498 431–564 414–582 | 989 856–1123 820–1159 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.41 69.39–77.44 68.09–78.74 | 79.76 75.44–84.08 74.13–85.39 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 11.69 8.86–14.53 8.10–15.29 | 11.32 8.38–14.27 7.63–15.02 | 23.02 17.23–28.80 15.73–30.30 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.20 | 2.04 0.95–3.13 0.66–3.42 | 3.78 1.52–6.03 0.93–6.62 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.83–6.30 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.86–4.73 1.47–5.12 | 2.85 1.29–4.40 0.87–4.83 | 6.14 3.15–9.13 2.34–9.95 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.