Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.152.59safe0.47–2.400.30–2.000.76–4.41safer0.22–2.660.07–2.230.28–4.89
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.158.76safe2.75–6.482.40–5.895.16–12.37safer2.26–6.971.94–6.354.20–13.32
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4912.5227.01safe10.57–18.428.95–16.0819.52–34.50safer9.48–19.517.99–17.0417.47–36.55
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.568.4117.97safe6.61–12.505.73–11.0912.34–23.59safer5.79–13.334.99–11.8310.78–25.16
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.323.778.10safe2.44–6.202.12–5.434.56–11.63safer1.89–6.751.63–5.923.52–12.67
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.9210.15safe3.02–7.442.92–6.925.94–14.37safer2.44–8.022.39–7.464.83–15.47
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.0146.62safe46.22–59.8039.83–53.40safer44.55–61.4738.16–55.08
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction481400882safe414–549334–467748–1015safer396–567316–484712–1051
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction70.7170.19safe66.68–74.7465.86–74.51safer65.39–76.0364.55–75.82
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5611.8523.41safe8.72–14.398.91–14.8017.63–29.19safer7.96–15.158.16–15.5516.12–30.70
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.823.97safe0.99–3.310.73–2.911.72–6.22safer0.69–3.610.44–3.201.13–6.81
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.953.59safe0.59–2.690.82–3.081.42–5.77safer0.33–2.960.53–3.370.86–6.33
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.060.11safe0.00–0.210.00–0.250.00–0.46safer0.00–0.360.00–0.380.00–0.74
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.892.925.81safe1.45–4.331.36–4.472.81–8.80safer1.07–4.710.93–4.902.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.40 0.22–2.66 | 1.15 0.30–2.00 0.07–2.23 | 2.59 0.76–4.41 0.28–4.89 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.48 2.26–6.97 | 4.15 2.40–5.89 1.94–6.35 | 8.76 5.16–12.37 4.20–13.32 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.49 10.57–18.42 9.48–19.51 | 12.52 8.95–16.08 7.99–17.04 | 27.01 19.52–34.50 17.47–36.55 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 9.56 6.61–12.50 5.79–13.33 | 8.41 5.73–11.09 4.99–11.83 | 17.97 12.34–23.59 10.78–25.16 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.44–6.20 1.89–6.75 | 3.77 2.12–5.43 1.63–5.92 | 8.10 4.56–11.63 3.52–12.67 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.02–7.44 2.44–8.02 | 4.92 2.92–6.92 2.39–7.46 | 10.15 5.94–14.37 4.83–15.47 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 53.01 46.22–59.80 44.55–61.47 | 46.62 39.83–53.40 38.16–55.08 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 481 414–549 396–567 | 400 334–467 316–484 | 882 748–1015 712–1051 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.71 66.68–74.74 65.39–76.03 | 70.19 65.86–74.51 64.55–75.82 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.72–14.39 7.96–15.15 | 11.85 8.91–14.80 8.16–15.55 | 23.41 17.63–29.19 16.12–30.70 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.82 0.73–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 3.97 1.72–6.22 1.13–6.81 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.59 1.42–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.45–4.33 1.07–4.71 | 2.92 1.36–4.47 0.93–4.90 | 5.81 2.81–8.80 2.00–9.61 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+