Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.230.712.94safe1.26–3.200.00–1.571.12–4.76safer1.01–3.450.00–1.790.64–5.24
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.963.0710.03safe5.10–8.821.33–4.816.42–13.64safer4.61–9.310.86–5.285.47–14.59
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.259.0029.26safe16.33–24.185.44–12.5721.77–36.74safer15.24–25.274.48–13.5319.72–38.80
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.625.7119.33safe10.68–16.563.03–8.3913.71–24.96safer9.85–17.392.30–9.1312.14–26.52
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.002.718.71safe4.12–7.891.05–4.365.18–12.25safer3.58–8.430.56–4.854.14–13.28
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.573.2010.77safe5.35–9.781.20–5.206.56–14.98safer4.78–10.350.67–5.745.45–16.09
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.4241.35safe51.63–65.2134.57–48.14safer49.96–66.8832.90–49.81
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction537378914safe469–604311–444781–1048safer451–622294–462745–1084
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction78.6073.16safe74.57–82.6368.84–77.48safer73.27–83.9267.53–78.79
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5012.4222.92safe7.66–13.339.47–15.3617.13–28.70safer6.90–14.098.73–16.1115.63–30.20
Offsides
52%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.243.09safe0.69–3.010.15–2.340.84–5.34safer0.38–3.310.00–2.620.25–5.93
Yellow cards
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.343.75safe0.35–2.451.22–3.471.57–5.92safer0.09–2.720.92–3.761.01–6.48
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.204.326.52safe0.76–3.632.77–5.883.53–9.51safer0.37–4.022.34–6.302.71–10.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.23 1.26–3.20 1.01–3.45 | 0.71 0.00–1.57 0.00–1.79 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 72% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.96 5.10–8.82 4.61–9.31 | 3.07 1.33–4.81 0.86–5.28 | 10.03 6.42–13.64 5.47–14.59 | 86% |
| Total shots | 20.25 16.33–24.18 15.24–25.27 | 9.00 5.44–12.57 4.48–13.53 | 29.26 21.77–36.74 19.72–38.80 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.62 10.68–16.56 9.85–17.39 | 5.71 3.03–8.39 2.30–9.13 | 19.33 13.71–24.96 12.14–26.52 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 6.00 4.12–7.89 3.58–8.43 | 2.71 1.05–4.36 0.56–4.85 | 8.71 5.18–12.25 4.14–13.28 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.57 5.35–9.78 4.78–10.35 | 3.20 1.20–5.20 0.67–5.74 | 10.77 6.56–14.98 5.45–16.09 | 88% |
| Possession % | 58.42 51.63–65.21 49.96–66.88 | 41.35 34.57–48.14 32.90–49.81 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 537 469–604 451–622 | 378 311–444 294–462 | 914 781–1048 745–1084 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.60 74.57–82.63 73.27–83.92 | 73.16 68.84–77.48 67.53–78.79 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 10.50 7.66–13.33 6.90–14.09 | 12.42 9.47–15.36 8.73–16.11 | 22.92 17.13–28.70 15.63–30.20 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.38–3.31 | 1.24 0.15–2.34 0.00–2.62 | 3.09 0.84–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 52% 23% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.09–2.72 | 2.34 1.22–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 3.75 1.57–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.76–3.63 0.37–4.02 | 4.32 2.77–5.88 2.34–6.30 | 6.52 3.53–9.51 2.71–10.32 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.