Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.302.62safe0.36–2.300.44–2.150.80–4.45safer0.11–2.550.21–2.380.32–4.93
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.314.148.45safe2.45–6.172.40–5.884.85–12.06safer1.96–6.661.93–6.353.89–13.01
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7811.9925.76safe9.85–17.708.42–15.5518.28–33.25safer8.76–18.797.47–16.5116.22–35.30
Shots in box
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.258.4317.68safe6.31–12.205.74–11.1112.06–23.30safer5.48–13.035.01–11.8410.49–24.87
Blocked shots
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.384.048.41safe2.50–6.262.38–5.694.88–11.95safer1.95–6.801.89–6.183.84–12.98
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.694.9110.60safe3.47–7.902.91–6.916.38–14.81safer2.90–8.472.38–7.445.27–15.92
Possession %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction46.8352.62safe40.04–53.6245.83–59.40safer38.37–55.2944.16–61.07
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction402441844safe335–470375–508710–977safer317–488357–525674–1013
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction64.4471.42safe60.41–68.4767.09–75.74safer59.12–69.7665.78–77.05
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9012.0821.98safe7.07–12.749.14–15.0316.20–27.77safer6.31–13.508.39–15.7714.70–29.27
Offsides
54%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.213.12safe0.75–3.070.12–2.300.87–5.37safer0.45–3.370.00–2.590.28–5.96
Yellow cards
29%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.903.35safe0.39–2.490.78–3.031.17–5.52safer0.13–2.760.48–3.320.61–6.08
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.822.955.76safe1.38–4.251.39–4.502.77–8.76safer0.99–4.640.97–4.931.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.30 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.38 | 2.62 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.31 2.45–6.17 1.96–6.66 | 4.14 2.40–5.88 1.93–6.35 | 8.45 4.85–12.06 3.89–13.01 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.78 9.85–17.70 8.76–18.79 | 11.99 8.42–15.55 7.47–16.51 | 25.76 18.28–33.25 16.22–35.30 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 9.25 6.31–12.20 5.48–13.03 | 8.43 5.74–11.11 5.01–11.84 | 17.68 12.06–23.30 10.49–24.87 | 53% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 4.38 2.50–6.26 1.95–6.80 | 4.04 2.38–5.69 1.89–6.18 | 8.41 4.88–11.95 3.84–12.98 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.69 3.47–7.90 2.90–8.47 | 4.91 2.91–6.91 2.38–7.44 | 10.60 6.38–14.81 5.27–15.92 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 46.83 40.04–53.62 38.37–55.29 | 52.62 45.83–59.40 44.16–61.07 | — | 34% 61% |
| Passes | 402 335–470 317–488 | 441 375–508 357–525 | 844 710–977 674–1013 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.44 60.41–68.47 59.12–69.76 | 71.42 67.09–75.74 65.78–77.05 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 9.90 7.07–12.74 6.31–13.50 | 12.08 9.14–15.03 8.39–15.77 | 21.98 16.20–27.77 14.70–29.27 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 1.21 0.12–2.30 0.00–2.59 | 3.12 0.87–5.37 0.28–5.96 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 1.90 0.78–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.35 1.17–5.52 0.61–6.08 | 29% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 2.95 1.39–4.50 0.97–4.93 | 5.76 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+