Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
26%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.472.64safe0.20–2.130.62–2.330.82–4.46safer0.00–2.390.39–2.560.34–4.94
Shots on target
35%
13%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.064.658.72safe2.20–5.932.91–6.405.11–12.32safer1.71–6.422.45–6.864.16–13.28
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0013.3626.36safe9.07–16.929.80–16.9318.87–33.85safer7.98–18.018.84–17.8916.82–35.90
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.808.8917.69safe5.86–11.746.21–11.5712.07–23.31safer5.03–12.575.47–12.3110.50–24.88
Blocked shots
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.964.178.14safe2.08–5.852.52–5.834.60–11.67safer1.54–6.392.03–6.323.57–12.71
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.195.0910.28safe2.98–7.403.09–7.096.07–14.49safer2.40–7.982.56–7.624.96–15.60
Possession %
24%
73%
homeawayprediction44.3855.50safe37.59–51.1748.72–62.29safer35.92–52.8447.05–63.96
Passes
20%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction397497894safe330–465430–563761–1028safer312–483413–581725–1064
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction67.2673.01safe63.23–71.2968.68–77.33safer61.94–72.5867.38–78.64
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3511.6222.97safe8.51–14.188.68–14.5617.18–28.75safer7.75–14.947.93–15.3115.68–30.25
Offsides
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.983.60safe0.46–2.780.89–3.071.35–5.85safer0.16–3.080.60–3.360.76–6.44
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.163.94safe0.73–2.831.03–3.291.76–6.12safer0.46–3.100.74–3.581.20–6.67
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.052.946.00safe1.62–4.491.39–4.503.00–8.99safer1.23–4.880.96–4.922.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.13 0.00–2.39 | 1.47 0.62–2.33 0.39–2.56 | 2.64 0.82–4.46 0.34–4.94 | 30% 26% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.06 2.20–5.93 1.71–6.42 | 4.65 2.91–6.40 2.45–6.86 | 8.72 5.11–12.32 4.16–13.28 | 35% 13% 51% |
| Total shots | 13.00 9.07–16.92 7.98–18.01 | 13.36 9.80–16.93 8.84–17.89 | 26.36 18.87–33.85 16.82–35.90 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 8.80 5.86–11.74 5.03–12.57 | 8.89 6.21–11.57 5.47–12.31 | 17.69 12.07–23.31 10.50–24.88 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.96 2.08–5.85 1.54–6.39 | 4.17 2.52–5.83 2.03–6.32 | 8.14 4.60–11.67 3.57–12.71 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.98–7.40 2.40–7.98 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.56–7.62 | 10.28 6.07–14.49 4.96–15.60 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 44.38 37.59–51.17 35.92–52.84 | 55.50 48.72–62.29 47.05–63.96 | — | 24% 73% |
| Passes | 397 330–465 312–483 | 497 430–563 413–581 | 894 761–1028 725–1064 | 20% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.26 63.23–71.29 61.94–72.58 | 73.01 68.68–77.33 67.38–78.64 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 11.35 8.51–14.18 7.75–14.94 | 11.62 8.68–14.56 7.93–15.31 | 22.97 17.18–28.75 15.68–30.25 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.98 0.89–3.07 0.60–3.36 | 3.60 1.35–5.85 0.76–6.44 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.10 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.20–6.67 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.62–4.49 1.23–4.88 | 2.94 1.39–4.50 0.96–4.92 | 6.00 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.