Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
24%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.650.922.57safe0.68–2.620.06–1.770.75–4.39safer0.43–2.870.00–2.000.27–4.87
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.683.449.12safe3.82–7.541.70–5.185.52–12.73safer3.33–8.031.23–5.654.56–13.68
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.909.7327.63safe13.98–21.836.17–13.2920.15–35.12safer12.89–22.925.21–14.2518.10–37.17
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.376.9218.29safe8.42–14.314.24–9.6012.67–23.91safer7.59–15.143.50–10.3411.10–25.48
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.362.958.31safe3.48–7.241.30–4.604.77–11.84safer2.93–7.790.80–5.093.74–12.88
Corners
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.543.8210.36safe4.33–8.751.82–5.826.14–14.57safer3.75–9.331.28–6.355.04–15.68
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.1439.18safe54.35–67.9332.40–45.97safer52.68–69.6030.73–47.64
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction567355921safe499–634288–421788–1055safer481–652271–438752–1091
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction76.1567.15safe72.12–80.1862.82–71.47safer70.83–81.4761.52–72.78
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction11.259.8721.12safe8.41–14.096.93–12.8215.34–26.90safer7.65–14.846.18–13.5713.83–28.41
Offsides
22%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.272.143.40safe0.11–2.431.04–3.231.15–5.66safer0.00–2.730.75–3.520.56–6.25
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.843.43safe0.54–2.640.71–2.971.25–5.61safer0.28–2.910.42–3.260.70–6.17
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.303.866.16safe0.86–3.742.31–5.423.17–9.16safer0.48–4.121.88–5.852.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.68–2.62 0.43–2.87 | 0.92 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 55% 24% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.68 3.82–7.54 3.33–8.03 | 3.44 1.70–5.18 1.23–5.65 | 9.12 5.52–12.73 4.56–13.68 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 17.90 13.98–21.83 12.89–22.92 | 9.73 6.17–13.29 5.21–14.25 | 27.63 20.15–35.12 18.10–37.17 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.37 8.42–14.31 7.59–15.14 | 6.92 4.24–9.60 3.50–10.34 | 18.29 12.67–23.91 11.10–25.48 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 5.36 3.48–7.24 2.93–7.79 | 2.95 1.30–4.60 0.80–5.09 | 8.31 4.77–11.84 3.74–12.88 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 6.54 4.33–8.75 3.75–9.33 | 3.82 1.82–5.82 1.28–6.35 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 76% 16% |
| Possession % | 61.14 54.35–67.93 52.68–69.60 | 39.18 32.40–45.97 30.73–47.64 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 567 499–634 481–652 | 355 288–421 271–438 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.15 72.12–80.18 70.83–81.47 | 67.15 62.82–71.47 61.52–72.78 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.25 8.41–14.09 7.65–14.84 | 9.87 6.93–12.82 6.18–13.57 | 21.12 15.34–26.90 13.83–28.41 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.27 0.11–2.43 0.00–2.73 | 2.14 1.04–3.23 0.75–3.52 | 3.40 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.43 1.25–5.61 0.70–6.17 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.86–3.74 0.48–4.12 | 3.86 2.31–5.42 1.88–5.85 | 6.16 3.17–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.