Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
23%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.863.01safe0.18–2.121.01–2.721.19–4.84safer0.00–2.370.78–2.950.71–5.32
Shots on target
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.655.469.10safe1.78–5.513.71–7.205.50–12.71safer1.29–6.003.25–7.674.54–13.66
Total shots
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5816.7528.33safe7.66–15.5013.19–20.3120.84–35.82safer6.56–16.6012.23–21.2718.79–37.87
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction7.4911.0518.54safe4.55–10.438.37–13.7412.92–24.17safer3.72–11.267.64–14.4711.35–25.73
Blocked shots
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.505.248.74safe1.62–5.383.59–6.905.21–12.28safer1.07–5.933.10–7.394.17–13.32
Corners
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.625.319.93safe2.41–6.833.31–7.315.72–14.14safer1.83–7.412.78–7.844.61–15.25
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.7859.65safe33.99–47.5752.86–66.43safer32.32–49.2451.19–68.10
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction381536917safe314–449469–602784–1051safer296–467452–620748–1087
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction66.6781.43safe62.64–70.7077.10–85.75safer61.35–71.9975.80–87.06
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1911.7221.91safe7.35–13.038.77–14.6616.13–27.69safer6.60–13.788.03–15.4114.62–29.20
Offsides
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.713.68safe0.80–3.130.62–2.811.42–5.93safer0.50–3.430.33–3.090.83–6.52
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.993.65safe0.61–2.710.86–3.121.47–5.83safer0.35–2.980.57–3.410.91–6.39
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.592.506.09safe2.15–5.020.95–4.063.10–9.08safer1.76–5.410.52–4.482.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.86 1.01–2.72 0.78–2.95 | 3.01 1.19–4.84 0.71–5.32 | 23% 23% 54% |
| Shots on target | 3.65 1.78–5.51 1.29–6.00 | 5.46 3.71–7.20 3.25–7.67 | 9.10 5.50–12.71 4.54–13.66 | 22% 67% |
| Total shots | 11.58 7.66–15.50 6.56–16.60 | 16.75 13.19–20.31 12.23–21.27 | 28.33 20.84–35.82 18.79–37.87 | 14% 81% |
| Shots in box | 7.49 4.55–10.43 3.72–11.26 | 11.05 8.37–13.74 7.64–14.47 | 18.54 12.92–24.17 11.35–25.73 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.50 1.62–5.38 1.07–5.93 | 5.24 3.59–6.90 3.10–7.39 | 8.74 5.21–12.28 4.17–13.32 | 22% 66% |
| Corners | 4.62 2.41–6.83 1.83–7.41 | 5.31 3.31–7.31 2.78–7.84 | 9.93 5.72–14.14 4.61–15.25 | 35% 52% |
| Possession % | 40.78 33.99–47.57 32.32–49.24 | 59.65 52.86–66.43 51.19–68.10 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 381 314–449 296–467 | 536 469–602 452–620 | 917 784–1051 748–1087 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.67 62.64–70.70 61.35–71.99 | 81.43 77.10–85.75 75.80–87.06 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.19 7.35–13.03 6.60–13.78 | 11.72 8.77–14.66 8.03–15.41 | 21.91 16.13–27.69 14.62–29.20 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.80–3.13 0.50–3.43 | 1.71 0.62–2.81 0.33–3.09 | 3.68 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.91–6.39 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.59 2.15–5.02 1.76–5.41 | 2.50 0.95–4.06 0.52–4.48 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.29–9.90 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+