Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
24%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.730.902.63safe0.76–2.700.05–1.760.81–4.45safer0.51–2.950.00–1.980.33–4.93
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.673.409.07safe3.81–7.531.66–5.155.47–12.68safer3.32–8.021.20–5.614.51–13.64
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.089.0126.09safe13.16–21.015.44–12.5718.60–33.58safer12.07–22.104.49–13.5316.55–35.63
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.116.6217.73safe8.17–14.063.94–9.3012.11–23.36safer7.34–14.893.20–10.0410.54–24.92
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.012.427.43safe3.13–6.890.77–4.083.90–10.97safer2.58–7.430.28–4.572.86–12.00
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.023.4910.51safe4.81–9.241.49–5.496.30–14.73safer4.24–9.810.96–6.025.19–15.83
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction69.1530.27safe62.36–75.9423.49–37.06safer60.69–77.6121.82–38.73
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction637275912safe570–704209–342779–1046safer552–723191–359743–1082
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction81.0864.78safe77.05–85.1160.46–69.11safer75.75–86.4059.15–70.42
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0610.3120.37safe7.22–12.907.37–13.2614.59–26.15safer6.47–13.656.62–14.0013.08–27.66
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.623.52safe0.74–3.060.53–2.711.26–5.77safer0.44–3.360.24–3.000.67–6.36
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.173.74safe0.53–2.621.04–3.301.57–5.92safer0.26–2.890.75–3.591.01–6.48
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
19%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.183.836.01safe0.75–3.622.27–5.383.02–9.00safer0.36–4.011.85–5.812.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.76–2.70 0.51–2.95 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.98 | 2.63 0.81–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 57% 24% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.67 3.81–7.53 3.32–8.02 | 3.40 1.66–5.15 1.20–5.61 | 9.07 5.47–12.68 4.51–13.64 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 17.08 13.16–21.01 12.07–22.10 | 9.01 5.44–12.57 4.49–13.53 | 26.09 18.60–33.58 16.55–35.63 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.11 8.17–14.06 7.34–14.89 | 6.62 3.94–9.30 3.20–10.04 | 17.73 12.11–23.36 10.54–24.92 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 5.01 3.13–6.89 2.58–7.43 | 2.42 0.77–4.08 0.28–4.57 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 78% |
| Corners | 7.02 4.81–9.24 4.24–9.81 | 3.49 1.49–5.49 0.96–6.02 | 10.51 6.30–14.73 5.19–15.83 | 83% |
| Possession % | 69.15 62.36–75.94 60.69–77.61 | 30.27 23.49–37.06 21.82–38.73 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 637 570–704 552–723 | 275 209–342 191–359 | 912 779–1046 743–1082 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.08 77.05–85.11 75.75–86.40 | 64.78 60.46–69.11 59.15–70.42 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 10.06 7.22–12.90 6.47–13.65 | 10.31 7.37–13.26 6.62–14.00 | 20.37 14.59–26.15 13.08–27.66 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.62 0.53–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.52 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.36 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.74 1.57–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.18 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 3.83 2.27–5.38 1.85–5.81 | 6.01 3.02–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 19% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.