Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
27%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.312.54safe0.26–2.200.46–2.160.72–4.36safer0.01–2.450.23–2.390.24–4.84
Shots on target
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.914.158.06safe2.05–5.772.41–5.904.46–11.67safer1.56–6.261.94–6.363.50–12.62
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1812.1625.34safe9.25–17.108.60–15.7217.85–32.82safer8.16–18.197.64–16.6815.80–34.88
Shots in box
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.868.6817.54safe5.92–11.806.00–11.3611.92–23.17safer5.09–12.635.27–12.1010.35–24.73
Blocked shots
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.384.108.48safe2.50–6.272.45–5.754.95–12.02safer1.96–6.811.95–6.243.91–13.05
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.514.8810.39safe3.30–7.722.88–6.886.17–14.60safer2.72–8.302.34–7.415.07–15.71
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction47.7252.90safe40.93–54.5146.12–59.69safer39.26–56.1844.45–61.36
Passes
37%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction416454869safe349–483387–520736–1003safer330–501370–538700–1039
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction65.0471.91safe61.01–69.0767.59–76.24safer59.72–70.3666.28–77.55
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9711.4722.43safe8.13–13.818.52–14.4116.65–28.22safer7.37–14.567.77–15.1615.15–29.72
Offsides
51%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.303.20safe0.73–3.050.21–2.400.94–5.45safer0.43–3.350.00–2.690.36–6.04
Yellow cards
36%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.753.35safe0.55–2.650.62–2.881.17–5.53safer0.29–2.920.33–3.170.62–6.09
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.702.845.53safe1.26–4.131.28–4.392.54–8.53safer0.87–4.520.85–4.821.73–9.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.31 0.46–2.16 0.23–2.39 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 35% 27% 39% |
| Shots on target | 3.91 2.05–5.77 1.56–6.26 | 4.15 2.41–5.90 1.94–6.36 | 8.06 4.46–11.67 3.50–12.62 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.18 9.25–17.10 8.16–18.19 | 12.16 8.60–15.72 7.64–16.68 | 25.34 17.85–32.82 15.80–34.88 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.86 5.92–11.80 5.09–12.63 | 8.68 6.00–11.36 5.27–12.10 | 17.54 11.92–23.17 10.35–24.73 | 47% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.38 2.50–6.27 1.96–6.81 | 4.10 2.45–5.75 1.95–6.24 | 8.48 4.95–12.02 3.91–13.05 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.30–7.72 2.72–8.30 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.34–7.41 | 10.39 6.17–14.60 5.07–15.71 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 47.72 40.93–54.51 39.26–56.18 | 52.90 46.12–59.69 44.45–61.36 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 416 349–483 330–501 | 454 387–520 370–538 | 869 736–1003 700–1039 | 37% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.04 61.01–69.07 59.72–70.36 | 71.91 67.59–76.24 66.28–77.55 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 10.97 8.13–13.81 7.37–14.56 | 11.47 8.52–14.41 7.77–15.16 | 22.43 16.65–28.22 15.15–29.72 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.30 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.20 0.94–5.45 0.36–6.04 | 51% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.35 1.17–5.53 0.62–6.09 | 36% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 2.84 1.28–4.39 0.85–4.82 | 5.53 2.54–8.53 1.73–9.34 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.