Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
21%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction0.982.043.02safe0.01–1.941.19–2.901.20–4.84safer0.00–2.190.96–3.130.72–5.32
Shots on target
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.485.779.25safe1.62–5.344.03–7.515.64–12.85safer1.13–5.833.56–7.984.69–13.81
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1616.7426.90safe6.23–14.0813.18–20.3119.41–34.39safer5.14–15.1712.22–21.2717.36–36.44
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.1810.5216.70safe3.24–9.127.84–13.2011.08–22.32safer2.41–9.957.10–13.949.51–23.89
Blocked shots
24%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.254.727.97safe1.37–5.143.07–6.374.44–11.51safer0.83–5.682.57–6.863.40–12.54
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.855.849.69safe1.64–6.073.84–7.845.48–13.91safer1.07–6.643.31–8.374.37–15.01
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.1257.97safe35.33–48.9151.18–64.75safer33.66–50.5849.51–66.42
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction385524908safe317–452457–590775–1042safer299–470440–608739–1078
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction68.1479.45safe64.11–72.1775.12–83.77safer62.82–73.4673.81–85.08
Fouls
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4610.6924.15safe10.62–16.307.74–13.6318.37–29.93safer9.87–17.066.99–14.3816.86–31.44
Offsides
27%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.973.34safe0.20–2.530.88–3.061.08–5.59safer0.00–2.830.59–3.350.49–6.18
Yellow cards
48%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.794.03safe1.19–3.290.66–2.921.85–6.21safer0.92–3.550.37–3.211.30–6.77
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.060.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.390.00–0.380.00–0.77
GK saves
63%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.772.416.19safe2.34–5.210.86–3.973.19–9.18safer1.95–5.600.43–4.392.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.01–1.94 0.00–2.19 | 2.04 1.19–2.90 0.96–3.13 | 3.02 1.20–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 17% 21% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.48 1.62–5.34 1.13–5.83 | 5.77 4.03–7.51 3.56–7.98 | 9.25 5.64–12.85 4.69–13.81 | 18% 72% |
| Total shots | 10.16 6.23–14.08 5.14–15.17 | 16.74 13.18–20.31 12.22–21.27 | 26.90 19.41–34.39 17.36–36.44 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 6.18 3.24–9.12 2.41–9.95 | 10.52 7.84–13.20 7.10–13.94 | 16.70 11.08–22.32 9.51–23.89 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.37–5.14 0.83–5.68 | 4.72 3.07–6.37 2.57–6.86 | 7.97 4.44–11.51 3.40–12.54 | 24% 63% |
| Corners | 3.85 1.64–6.07 1.07–6.64 | 5.84 3.84–7.84 3.31–8.37 | 9.69 5.48–13.91 4.37–15.01 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 42.12 35.33–48.91 33.66–50.58 | 57.97 51.18–64.75 49.51–66.42 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 385 317–452 299–470 | 524 457–590 440–608 | 908 775–1042 739–1078 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.14 64.11–72.17 62.82–73.46 | 79.45 75.12–83.77 73.81–85.08 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 13.46 10.62–16.30 9.87–17.06 | 10.69 7.74–13.63 6.99–14.38 | 24.15 18.37–29.93 16.86–31.44 | 68% 25% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.20–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.97 0.88–3.06 0.59–3.35 | 3.34 1.08–5.59 0.49–6.18 | 27% 22% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.19–3.29 0.92–3.55 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 4.03 1.85–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 48% 20% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.77 2.34–5.21 1.95–5.60 | 2.41 0.86–3.97 0.43–4.39 | 6.19 3.19–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 63% 14% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.