Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.270.863.12safe1.30–3.240.00–1.711.30–4.95safer1.05–3.490.00–1.940.82–5.43
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.733.3410.07safe4.87–8.601.59–5.086.46–13.67safer4.38–9.091.13–5.545.51–14.63
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.649.4727.11safe13.72–21.575.91–13.0319.63–34.60safer12.63–22.664.95–13.9917.58–36.65
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction13.426.3719.79safe10.47–16.363.69–9.0514.16–25.41safer9.64–17.192.95–9.7912.60–26.98
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.372.708.07safe3.49–7.261.05–4.354.54–11.61safer2.95–7.800.56–4.853.50–12.65
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.023.4110.43safe4.81–9.241.41–5.416.22–14.65safer4.24–9.810.87–5.945.11–15.75
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.5044.97safe48.71–62.2938.18–51.75safer47.04–63.9636.51–53.42
Passes
80%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction529426955safe462–596360–493822–1089safer444–614342–510786–1125
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction78.1373.18safe74.10–82.1668.86–77.50safer72.81–83.4567.55–78.81
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7511.6421.39safe6.91–12.588.70–14.5915.61–27.17safer6.15–13.347.95–15.3414.11–28.68
Offsides
69%
17%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.611.143.75safe1.45–3.770.05–2.241.50–6.01safer1.15–4.070.00–2.520.91–6.59
Yellow cards
22%
21%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.242.143.38safe0.19–2.291.01–3.271.20–5.56safer0.00–2.560.72–3.560.64–6.12
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.354.296.64safe0.92–3.792.73–5.853.65–9.63safer0.53–4.182.31–6.272.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.27 1.30–3.24 1.05–3.49 | 0.86 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 3.12 1.30–4.95 0.82–5.43 | 69% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.73 4.87–8.60 4.38–9.09 | 3.34 1.59–5.08 1.13–5.54 | 10.07 6.46–13.67 5.51–14.63 | 82% |
| Total shots | 17.64 13.72–21.57 12.63–22.66 | 9.47 5.91–13.03 4.95–13.99 | 27.11 19.63–34.60 17.58–36.65 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 13.42 10.47–16.36 9.64–17.19 | 6.37 3.69–9.05 2.95–9.79 | 19.79 14.16–25.41 12.60–26.98 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.37 3.49–7.26 2.95–7.80 | 2.70 1.05–4.35 0.56–4.85 | 8.07 4.54–11.61 3.50–12.65 | 78% |
| Corners | 7.02 4.81–9.24 4.24–9.81 | 3.41 1.41–5.41 0.87–5.94 | 10.43 6.22–14.65 5.11–15.75 | 84% |
| Possession % | 55.50 48.71–62.29 47.04–63.96 | 44.97 38.18–51.75 36.51–53.42 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 529 462–596 444–614 | 426 360–493 342–510 | 955 822–1089 786–1125 | 80% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.13 74.10–82.16 72.81–83.45 | 73.18 68.86–77.50 67.55–78.81 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 9.75 6.91–12.58 6.15–13.34 | 11.64 8.70–14.59 7.95–15.34 | 21.39 15.61–27.17 14.11–28.68 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.61 1.45–3.77 1.15–4.07 | 1.14 0.05–2.24 0.00–2.52 | 3.75 1.50–6.01 0.91–6.59 | 69% 17% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 1.24 0.19–2.29 0.00–2.56 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.12 | 22% 21% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 4.29 2.73–5.85 2.31–6.27 | 6.64 3.65–9.63 2.84–10.45 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.