Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.162.55safe0.42–2.360.30–2.010.73–4.37safer0.17–2.610.08–2.240.25–4.85
Shots on target
52%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.563.928.48safe2.69–6.422.18–5.664.87–12.08safer2.20–6.911.71–6.133.92–13.04
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9811.7825.75safe10.05–17.908.21–15.3418.27–33.24safer8.96–18.997.26–16.3016.22–35.29
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.887.7517.63safe6.94–12.825.07–10.4312.00–23.25safer6.11–13.654.33–11.1710.44–24.82
Blocked shots
61%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.563.277.83safe2.68–6.441.61–4.924.29–11.36safer2.13–6.981.12–5.413.26–12.40
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.504.9510.45safe3.29–7.722.95–6.956.24–14.66safer2.72–8.292.41–7.485.13–15.77
Possession %
56%
40%
homeawayprediction51.7848.43safe44.99–58.5741.65–55.22safer43.32–60.2439.97–56.89
Passes
64%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction444400843safe376–511333–466709–977safer358–529316–484674–1013
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction67.6268.70safe63.59–71.6564.38–73.03safer62.29–72.9463.07–74.34
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5510.9622.51safe8.71–14.398.02–13.9116.73–28.29safer7.96–15.147.27–14.6615.23–29.80
Offsides
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.124.29safe1.01–3.331.03–3.212.04–6.54safer0.71–3.630.74–3.501.45–7.13
Yellow cards
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.763.27safe0.46–2.560.63–2.891.09–5.44safer0.19–2.820.34–3.180.53–6.00
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.060.11safe0.00–0.210.00–0.250.00–0.46safer0.00–0.360.00–0.380.00–0.74
GK saves
35%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.612.975.58safe1.17–4.051.42–4.532.59–8.58safer0.79–4.430.99–4.951.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.08–2.24 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 42% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.56 2.69–6.42 2.20–6.91 | 3.92 2.18–5.66 1.71–6.13 | 8.48 4.87–12.08 3.92–13.04 | 52% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 13.98 10.05–17.90 8.96–18.99 | 11.78 8.21–15.34 7.26–16.30 | 25.75 18.27–33.24 16.22–35.29 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.88 6.94–12.82 6.11–13.65 | 7.75 5.07–10.43 4.33–11.17 | 17.63 12.00–23.25 10.44–24.82 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.56 2.68–6.44 2.13–6.98 | 3.27 1.61–4.92 1.12–5.41 | 7.83 4.29–11.36 3.26–12.40 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Corners | 5.50 3.29–7.72 2.72–8.29 | 4.95 2.95–6.95 2.41–7.48 | 10.45 6.24–14.66 5.13–15.77 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 51.78 44.99–58.57 43.32–60.24 | 48.43 41.65–55.22 39.97–56.89 | — | 56% 40% |
| Passes | 444 376–511 358–529 | 400 333–466 316–484 | 843 709–977 674–1013 | 64% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.62 63.59–71.65 62.29–72.94 | 68.70 64.38–73.03 63.07–74.34 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 11.55 8.71–14.39 7.96–15.14 | 10.96 8.02–13.91 7.27–14.66 | 22.51 16.73–28.29 15.23–29.80 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.17 1.01–3.33 0.71–3.63 | 2.12 1.03–3.21 0.74–3.50 | 4.29 2.04–6.54 1.45–7.13 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.27 1.09–5.44 0.53–6.00 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.05 0.79–4.43 | 2.97 1.42–4.53 0.99–4.95 | 5.58 2.59–8.58 1.78–9.39 | 35% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.