Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.283.12safe0.87–2.810.42–2.131.30–4.94safer0.62–3.060.19–2.360.82–5.42
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.4010.06safe3.80–7.522.66–6.156.46–13.67safer3.31–8.012.20–6.615.50–14.62
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0211.4328.45safe13.10–20.957.86–14.9920.96–35.93safer12.00–22.046.90–15.9518.91–37.98
Shots in box
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction11.308.8720.17safe8.35–14.246.19–11.5614.55–25.79safer7.52–15.075.46–12.2912.98–27.36
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.543.127.66safe2.66–6.431.46–4.774.12–11.19safer2.12–6.970.97–5.263.09–12.23
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.844.5910.42safe3.62–8.052.59–6.596.21–14.64safer3.05–8.622.05–7.125.10–15.74
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.5445.56safe47.75–61.3338.78–52.35safer46.08–63.0037.11–54.02
Passes
71%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction493426919safe426–561359–492785–1053safer408–579342–510750–1088
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction77.1876.26safe73.15–81.2171.94–80.58safer71.86–82.5070.63–81.89
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1010.8122.92safe9.26–14.947.87–13.7617.13–28.70safer8.51–15.707.12–14.5115.63–30.20
Offsides
40%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.843.73safe0.73–3.050.74–2.931.48–5.98safer0.43–3.360.46–3.220.89–6.57
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.134.10safe0.92–3.021.00–3.261.92–6.28safer0.66–3.290.71–3.551.36–6.83
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
33%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.556.47safe1.49–4.361.99–5.103.48–9.46safer1.10–4.751.57–5.532.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 0.87–2.81 0.62–3.06 | 1.28 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 3.12 1.30–4.94 0.82–5.42 | 51% 23% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.66 3.80–7.52 3.31–8.01 | 4.40 2.66–6.15 2.20–6.61 | 10.06 6.46–13.67 5.50–14.62 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 17.02 13.10–20.95 12.00–22.04 | 11.43 7.86–14.99 6.90–15.95 | 28.45 20.96–35.93 18.91–37.98 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 11.30 8.35–14.24 7.52–15.07 | 8.87 6.19–11.56 5.46–12.29 | 20.17 14.55–25.79 12.98–27.36 | 67% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.54 2.66–6.43 2.12–6.97 | 3.12 1.46–4.77 0.97–5.26 | 7.66 4.12–11.19 3.09–12.23 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.62–8.05 3.05–8.62 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.05–7.12 | 10.42 6.21–14.64 5.10–15.74 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 54.54 47.75–61.33 46.08–63.00 | 45.56 38.78–52.35 37.11–54.02 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 493 426–561 408–579 | 426 359–492 342–510 | 919 785–1053 750–1088 | 71% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.18 73.15–81.21 71.86–82.50 | 76.26 71.94–80.58 70.63–81.89 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 12.10 9.26–14.94 8.51–15.70 | 10.81 7.87–13.76 7.12–14.51 | 22.92 17.13–28.70 15.63–30.20 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.36 | 1.84 0.74–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.73 1.48–5.98 0.89–6.57 | 40% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.36–6.83 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 3.55 1.99–5.10 1.57–5.53 | 6.47 3.48–9.46 2.66–10.27 | 33% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.