Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.112.94safe0.86–2.800.26–1.971.12–4.76safer0.61–3.050.03–2.190.64–5.24
Shots on target
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.634.269.89safe3.77–7.492.52–6.016.29–13.50safer3.28–7.982.06–6.475.33–14.45
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8412.0927.92safe11.91–19.768.52–15.6520.43–35.41safer10.82–20.857.56–16.6118.38–37.46
Shots in box
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.948.0518.99safe8.00–13.885.37–10.7313.36–24.61safer7.17–14.714.63–11.4711.80–26.18
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.743.087.81safe2.85–6.621.42–4.734.28–11.35safer2.31–7.160.93–5.223.24–12.38
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.614.4011.01safe4.40–8.832.40–6.406.80–15.22safer3.83–9.401.86–6.935.69–16.33
Possession %
73%
24%
homeawayprediction55.5344.34safe48.74–62.3237.56–51.13safer47.07–63.9935.88–52.80
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction514411925safe447–581344–477791–1059safer429–600327–495756–1094
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction75.2572.59safe71.22–79.2768.27–76.91safer69.92–80.5766.96–78.22
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2212.3422.56safe7.38–13.069.39–15.2816.78–28.34safer6.63–13.818.64–16.0315.27–29.84
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.553.28safe0.57–2.890.46–2.641.03–5.53safer0.27–3.190.17–2.930.44–6.12
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.194.06safe0.82–2.921.06–3.321.88–6.24safer0.55–3.180.77–3.611.32–6.79
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.746.62safe1.45–4.322.18–5.293.63–9.61safer1.06–4.711.76–5.722.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 1.11 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.19 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.63 3.77–7.49 3.28–7.98 | 4.26 2.52–6.01 2.06–6.47 | 9.89 6.29–13.50 5.33–14.45 | 61% 28% |
| Total shots | 15.84 11.91–19.76 10.82–20.85 | 12.09 8.52–15.65 7.56–16.61 | 27.92 20.43–35.41 18.38–37.46 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 10.94 8.00–13.88 7.17–14.71 | 8.05 5.37–10.73 4.63–11.47 | 18.99 13.36–24.61 11.80–26.18 | 71% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.74 2.85–6.62 2.31–7.16 | 3.08 1.42–4.73 0.93–5.22 | 7.81 4.28–11.35 3.24–12.38 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.61 4.40–8.83 3.83–9.40 | 4.40 2.40–6.40 1.86–6.93 | 11.01 6.80–15.22 5.69–16.33 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 55.53 48.74–62.32 47.07–63.99 | 44.34 37.56–51.13 35.88–52.80 | — | 73% 24% |
| Passes | 514 447–581 429–600 | 411 344–477 327–495 | 925 791–1059 756–1094 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.25 71.22–79.27 69.92–80.57 | 72.59 68.27–76.91 66.96–78.22 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 10.22 7.38–13.06 6.63–13.81 | 12.34 9.39–15.28 8.64–16.03 | 22.56 16.78–28.34 15.27–29.84 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.28 1.03–5.53 0.44–6.12 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.18 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.06 1.88–6.24 1.32–6.79 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.45–4.32 1.06–4.71 | 3.74 2.18–5.29 1.76–5.72 | 6.62 3.63–9.61 2.82–10.43 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+