Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
24%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.680.942.62safe0.71–2.640.09–1.800.79–4.44safer0.46–2.890.00–2.020.31–4.92
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.963.199.15safe4.09–7.821.45–4.935.54–12.75safer3.61–8.310.98–5.404.59–13.71
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.639.2926.92safe13.70–21.555.73–12.8519.43–34.41safer12.61–22.654.77–13.8117.38–36.46
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.385.9917.37safe8.43–14.323.31–8.6711.75–22.99safer7.60–15.152.58–9.4110.18–24.56
Blocked shots
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.252.707.95safe3.36–7.131.05–4.354.41–11.48safer2.82–7.670.55–4.843.37–12.52
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.703.299.99safe4.49–8.921.29–5.295.78–14.21safer3.92–9.490.76–5.834.67–15.31
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction66.7932.61safe60.00–73.5825.83–39.40safer58.33–75.2524.16–41.07
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction626282908safe559–693216–348774–1042safer541–711198–366739–1077
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction77.8965.26safe73.86–81.9260.94–69.58safer72.57–83.2159.63–70.89
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9310.4120.34safe7.09–12.777.46–13.3514.55–26.12safer6.33–13.526.71–14.1013.05–27.62
Offsides
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.183.99safe0.65–2.971.08–3.271.74–6.24safer0.35–3.270.80–3.561.15–6.83
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.083.49safe0.35–2.450.96–3.211.31–5.67safer0.09–2.720.66–3.500.75–6.22
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.144.026.16safe0.70–3.572.46–5.583.17–9.15safer0.31–3.962.04–6.002.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.71–2.64 0.46–2.89 | 0.94 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.02 | 2.62 0.79–4.44 0.31–4.92 | 55% 24% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.96 4.09–7.82 3.61–8.31 | 3.19 1.45–4.93 0.98–5.40 | 9.15 5.54–12.75 4.59–13.71 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 17.63 13.70–21.55 12.61–22.65 | 9.29 5.73–12.85 4.77–13.81 | 26.92 19.43–34.41 17.38–36.46 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.38 8.43–14.32 7.60–15.15 | 5.99 3.31–8.67 2.58–9.41 | 17.37 11.75–22.99 10.18–24.56 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.25 3.36–7.13 2.82–7.67 | 2.70 1.05–4.35 0.55–4.84 | 7.95 4.41–11.48 3.37–12.52 | 77% 14% |
| Corners | 6.70 4.49–8.92 3.92–9.49 | 3.29 1.29–5.29 0.76–5.83 | 9.99 5.78–14.21 4.67–15.31 | 82% |
| Possession % | 66.79 60.00–73.58 58.33–75.25 | 32.61 25.83–39.40 24.16–41.07 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 626 559–693 541–711 | 282 216–348 198–366 | 908 774–1042 739–1077 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.89 73.86–81.92 72.57–83.21 | 65.26 60.94–69.58 59.63–70.89 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 9.93 7.09–12.77 6.33–13.52 | 10.41 7.46–13.35 6.71–14.10 | 20.34 14.55–26.12 13.05–27.62 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 2.18 1.08–3.27 0.80–3.56 | 3.99 1.74–6.24 1.15–6.83 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.09–2.72 | 2.08 0.96–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.75–6.22 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.70–3.57 0.31–3.96 | 4.02 2.46–5.58 2.04–6.00 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 16% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.