Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.262.57safe0.34–2.280.41–2.120.75–4.40safer0.09–2.530.18–2.350.27–4.87
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.324.178.49safe2.46–6.182.43–5.914.89–12.10safer1.97–6.671.96–6.383.93–13.05
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9812.2126.19safe10.05–17.908.65–15.7718.70–33.67safer8.96–18.997.69–16.7316.65–35.72
Shots in box
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.808.8317.63safe5.86–11.746.15–11.5112.01–23.25safer5.03–12.575.41–12.2510.44–24.82
Blocked shots
49%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.058.52safe2.59–6.352.40–5.714.99–12.06safer2.04–6.901.91–6.203.95–13.09
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.714.3910.10safe3.50–7.922.39–6.395.88–14.31safer2.92–8.501.86–6.924.78–15.42
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction56.2244.09safe49.43–63.0137.31–50.88safer47.76–64.6835.64–52.55
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction546407953safe479–614340–473819–1087safer461–632323–491784–1123
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction72.6171.86safe68.58–76.6467.53–76.18safer67.29–77.9366.23–77.49
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0410.9221.97safe8.21–13.887.98–13.8716.18–27.75safer7.45–14.647.23–14.6214.68–29.25
Offsides
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.173.92safe0.58–2.901.08–3.271.66–6.17safer0.28–3.200.79–3.561.07–6.76
Yellow cards
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.593.27safe0.63–2.730.46–2.721.09–5.44safer0.36–2.990.17–3.010.53–6.00
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.060.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.380.00–0.380.00–0.76
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.602.925.52safe1.16–4.031.36–4.482.52–8.51safer0.77–4.420.94–4.901.71–9.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 2.57 0.75–4.40 0.27–4.87 | 38% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.46–6.18 1.97–6.67 | 4.17 2.43–5.91 1.96–6.38 | 8.49 4.89–12.10 3.93–13.05 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.98 10.05–17.90 8.96–18.99 | 12.21 8.65–15.77 7.69–16.73 | 26.19 18.70–33.67 16.65–35.72 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 8.80 5.86–11.74 5.03–12.57 | 8.83 6.15–11.51 5.41–12.25 | 17.63 12.01–23.25 10.44–24.82 | 45% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.59–6.35 2.04–6.90 | 4.05 2.40–5.71 1.91–6.20 | 8.52 4.99–12.06 3.95–13.09 | 49% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 5.71 3.50–7.92 2.92–8.50 | 4.39 2.39–6.39 1.86–6.92 | 10.10 5.88–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 56.22 49.43–63.01 47.76–64.68 | 44.09 37.31–50.88 35.64–52.55 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 546 479–614 461–632 | 407 340–473 323–491 | 953 819–1087 784–1123 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.61 68.58–76.64 67.29–77.93 | 71.86 67.53–76.18 66.23–77.49 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 11.04 8.21–13.88 7.45–14.64 | 10.92 7.98–13.87 7.23–14.62 | 21.97 16.18–27.75 14.68–29.25 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 2.17 1.08–3.27 0.79–3.56 | 3.92 1.66–6.17 1.07–6.76 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–2.99 | 1.59 0.46–2.72 0.17–3.01 | 3.27 1.09–5.44 0.53–6.00 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 2.92 1.36–4.48 0.94–4.90 | 5.52 2.52–8.51 1.71–9.32 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+