Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.512.84safe0.36–2.300.66–2.371.02–4.67safer0.11–2.550.43–2.600.54–5.15
Shots on target
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.859.33safe2.61–6.343.11–6.595.72–12.93safer2.12–6.832.64–7.064.76–13.89
Total shots
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6814.5227.20safe8.75–16.6010.96–18.0819.71–34.69safer7.66–17.6910.00–19.0417.66–36.74
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5810.3418.92safe5.64–11.527.66–13.0313.30–24.55safer4.81–12.356.93–13.7611.73–26.11
Blocked shots
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.104.618.71safe2.22–5.982.96–6.275.18–12.25safer1.67–6.532.47–6.764.14–13.28
Corners
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.445.3810.81safe3.22–7.653.38–7.386.60–15.03safer2.65–8.222.85–7.915.49–16.13
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.9249.72safe44.13–57.7142.93–56.50safer42.46–59.3841.26–58.17
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction448410858safe381–516343–476724–992safer363–534326–494689–1027
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction68.7571.64safe64.72–72.7867.32–75.97safer63.43–74.0766.01–77.28
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0212.1622.18safe7.18–12.869.22–15.1116.40–27.96safer6.43–13.618.47–15.8514.90–29.47
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.543.56safe0.86–3.180.45–2.631.30–5.81safer0.56–3.480.16–2.920.71–6.40
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.873.31safe0.38–2.480.75–3.001.13–5.48safer0.12–2.750.45–3.290.57–6.04
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
45%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.082.905.98safe1.65–4.521.34–4.452.99–8.97safer1.26–4.900.92–4.882.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.51 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 2.84 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.34 2.12–6.83 | 4.85 3.11–6.59 2.64–7.06 | 9.33 5.72–12.93 4.76–13.89 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Total shots | 12.68 8.75–16.60 7.66–17.69 | 14.52 10.96–18.08 10.00–19.04 | 27.20 19.71–34.69 17.66–36.74 | 33% 60% |
| Shots in box | 8.58 5.64–11.52 4.81–12.35 | 10.34 7.66–13.03 6.93–13.76 | 18.92 13.30–24.55 11.73–26.11 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.67–6.53 | 4.61 2.96–6.27 2.47–6.76 | 8.71 5.18–12.25 4.14–13.28 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Corners | 5.44 3.22–7.65 2.65–8.22 | 5.38 3.38–7.38 2.85–7.91 | 10.81 6.60–15.03 5.49–16.13 | 45% 43% |
| Possession % | 50.92 44.13–57.71 42.46–59.38 | 49.72 42.93–56.50 41.26–58.17 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 448 381–516 363–534 | 410 343–476 326–494 | 858 724–992 689–1027 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.75 64.72–72.78 63.43–74.07 | 71.64 67.32–75.97 66.01–77.28 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 10.02 7.18–12.86 6.43–13.61 | 12.16 9.22–15.11 8.47–15.85 | 22.18 16.40–27.96 14.90–29.47 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.56 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.40 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.12–2.75 | 1.87 0.75–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.31 1.13–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.90 | 2.90 1.34–4.45 0.92–4.88 | 5.98 2.99–8.97 2.17–9.78 | 45% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.