Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.713.01safe0.33–2.270.85–2.561.19–4.83safer0.08–2.520.62–2.790.71–5.31
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.365.179.53safe2.50–6.223.42–6.915.92–13.13safer2.01–6.712.96–7.384.96–14.09
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4013.9027.31safe9.48–17.3310.34–17.4719.82–34.79safer8.39–18.429.38–18.4317.77–36.84
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8110.0918.90safe5.87–11.757.41–12.7713.28–24.53safer5.04–12.586.68–13.5111.71–26.09
Blocked shots
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.963.877.83safe2.07–5.842.22–5.534.30–11.37safer1.53–6.381.73–6.023.26–12.40
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.194.8410.02safe2.97–7.402.84–6.845.81–14.24safer2.40–7.972.30–7.374.70–15.34
Possession %
49%
47%
homeawayprediction50.4449.96safe43.65–57.2343.17–56.74safer41.98–58.9041.50–58.42
Passes
51%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction459456915safe392–526389–522781–1048safer373–544372–540745–1084
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction74.4975.31safe70.46–78.5270.99–79.64safer69.16–79.8169.68–80.95
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9212.4223.34safe8.09–13.769.47–15.3617.56–29.12safer7.33–14.528.72–16.1116.05–30.63
Offsides
48%
19%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.512.094.59safe1.35–3.670.99–3.182.34–6.85safer1.05–3.970.71–3.471.75–7.44
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.314.10safe0.73–2.831.19–3.441.92–6.27safer0.47–3.100.89–3.731.36–6.83
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.363.006.35safe1.92–4.791.44–4.553.36–9.35safer1.53–5.181.02–4.982.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.71 0.85–2.56 0.62–2.79 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.36 2.50–6.22 2.01–6.71 | 5.17 3.42–6.91 2.96–7.38 | 9.53 5.92–13.13 4.96–14.09 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 13.40 9.48–17.33 8.39–18.42 | 13.90 10.34–17.47 9.38–18.43 | 27.31 19.82–34.79 17.77–36.84 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.81 5.87–11.75 5.04–12.58 | 10.09 7.41–12.77 6.68–13.51 | 18.90 13.28–24.53 11.71–26.09 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.96 2.07–5.84 1.53–6.38 | 3.87 2.22–5.53 1.73–6.02 | 7.83 4.30–11.37 3.26–12.40 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.97–7.40 2.40–7.97 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.30–7.37 | 10.02 5.81–14.24 4.70–15.34 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 50.44 43.65–57.23 41.98–58.90 | 49.96 43.17–56.74 41.50–58.42 | — | 49% 47% |
| Passes | 459 392–526 373–544 | 456 389–522 372–540 | 915 781–1048 745–1084 | 51% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.49 70.46–78.52 69.16–79.81 | 75.31 70.99–79.64 69.68–80.95 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 10.92 8.09–13.76 7.33–14.52 | 12.42 9.47–15.36 8.72–16.11 | 23.34 17.56–29.12 16.05–30.63 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.51 1.35–3.67 1.05–3.97 | 2.09 0.99–3.18 0.71–3.47 | 4.59 2.34–6.85 1.75–7.44 | 48% 19% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 2.31 1.19–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 4.10 1.92–6.27 1.36–6.83 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.36 1.92–4.79 1.53–5.18 | 3.00 1.44–4.55 1.02–4.98 | 6.35 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.